Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 15
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.26
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
74% (172/233)84% (356/425)
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.28
Total shots
96
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2219
Passes
74% (172/233)84% (356/425)
Long passes
35% (15/43)59% (37/63)
Passes in final third
58% (40/69)69% (67/97)
Crosses
9% (2/22)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.52
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1922
Tackles
65% (11/17)71% (5/7)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.281.01
Goals prevented
0.280.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 31', Lozano P. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Fernandez Jaen R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Gumbau G. 🟨,
  • 52', Gumbau G. , Camello S. ,
  • 56', Lozano P. , Pickel C. ,
  • 63', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 64', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 70', de Frutos J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 70', Perez F. , Balliu I. ,
  • 74', Chavarria P. 🟨,
  • 76', Gonzalez U. 🟨,
  • 77', Dolan T. 🟨,
  • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. , Garcia K. ,
  • 80', Exposito , Terrats R. ,
  • 86', Mendy N. , Nteka R. ,
  • 87', Dolan T. 🟨,
  • 89', Milla P. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 90+6', Balliu I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Espanyol
39.3%
Draw
29.9%
Rayo Vallecano
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 26.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 26.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.31)
    3.19
    (3.6)
    3.13
    (2.94)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Espanyol (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Espanyol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Espanyol: Puado J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Red Card) Diaz P. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Trejo O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao (Injury) Nteka R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4
    31.08.2024 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    21.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:2
    Latest results of Espanyol
    30.11.2025 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:1
    24.11.2025 Espanyol - Sevilla 2:1
    08.11.2025 Espanyol - Villarreal 0:2
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2