Djoliba vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/01/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako).

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 5
Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Mali	ORTM
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.10	2.37
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
8	12
Shots on Goal
0	2
Shots off Goal
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Big Chances
0	6
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
Free Kicks
15	24
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
24	15
Yellow Cards
3	3
Throw-ins
18	29
Touches in the Opposition Box
8	27
Passes
70% (292/420)	71% (273/383)
Passes in the final third
43% (53/123)	49% (47/95)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	56% (5/9)
Tackles
80% (16/20)	75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
14	40
Interceptions
8	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Belaili Y. 🟨,
29', Azouni L. 🟨,
38', Mokwana E. 🟨,
45+1', Diallo O. 🟨,
45+3', Araba Dakouo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ben Ali M. ↓, Ogbelu O. ↑,
59', Azouni L. ↓, Aholou R. ↑,
62', Araba Dakouo F. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
62', Doumbia A. ↓, Simpara Y. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Mokwana E. ⚽, Ben Hamida M. (A),
74', Yan Sasse ↓, Ben M. A. ↑,
78', Keita A. 🟨,
80', Simpara Z. ↓, Kane B. ↑,
80', Keita A. ↓, Wague A. ↑,
88', Mokwana E. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
88', Konate A. ↓, Chaaleli G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Djoliba
17.3%

Draw
29.4%

Espérance ST
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djoliba's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djoliba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Djoliba - Espérance ST Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	8.7% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Djoliba - Espérance ST?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Djoliba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 35.9% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Recent matches Djoliba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Espérance ST is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Djoliba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Djoliba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

How many head-to-head matches has Djoliba won against Espérance ST?

Djoliba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Djoliba?

Espérance ST has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Djoliba - Espérance ST were as follows:

26.11.2024 Espérance ST - Djoliba 4:0

Latest results of Djoliba

05.01.2025 Sagrada Esperança - Djoliba 1:0 ✺

15.12.2024 Djoliba - Sagrada Esperança 0:0 ✺

11.12.2024 USFAS Bamako - Djoliba 1:2 ✺

08.12.2024 Djoliba - Pyramids 0:0 ✺

03.12.2024 Étoiles du Mandé - Djoliba 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Espérance ST

05.01.2025 Pyramids - Espérance ST 2:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:1 ✺

25.12.2024 EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST 0:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Espérance ST - Club Africain 2:2 ✺

14.12.2024 Espérance ST - Pyramids 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

Semi-finals

1	Aigle Noir	ASAS	1 : 1, 0 : 0
2	Bye	Al Ahly
3	Ethiopian Insurance	Mlandege	2 : 3, 2 : 0
4	APR	Pyramids	0 : 3, 0 : 2
5	Mogadishu City	Police FC	2 : 0, 1 : 3
6	Jamus	Al-Hilal Omdurman	0 : 1, 0 : 0
7	Rahimo	Mangasport	1 : 0, 0 : 0
8	ASFAN	Esperance Tunis	1 : 4, 0 : 3
9	Dadje	Al Ahly Tripoli	0 : 1, 0 : 0
10	ASC Kara	Berkane	1 : 3, 1 : 1
11	East End Lions	Monastir	1 : 3, 0 : 4
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	Kabylie	0 : 5, 0 : 2
13	Fundacion Bata	Nouadhibou	0 : 2, 0 : 0
14	Tempete MOCAF	Stade Malien	0 : 2, 0 : 5
15	Al Hilal Benghazi	Horoya	0 : 2, 1 : 0
16	Real Banjul	FAR Rabat	1 : 2, 0 : 2
17	Colombe	Jaraaf	1 : 0, 0 : 0
18	Fassell	MC Alger	0 : 3, 0 : 0
19	Remo Stars	Zilimadjou	1 : 0, 4 : 0
20	Bye	Mamelodi Sundowns
21	Simba Bhora	Nsingizini Hotspurs	0 : 2, 1 : 0
22	Gaborone Utd	Simba	1 : 1, 0 : 1
23	Elgeco Plus	Silver Strikers	0 : 0, 1 : 1
24	Wiliete	Young Africans	0 : 2, 0 : 3
25	Cote d'Or	Stade d'Abidjan	1 : 3, 0 : 2
26	Cercle De Joachim	Petro Atletico	0 : 3, 0 : 3
27	Leopard	Black Bulls	0 : 1, 0 : 0
28	Aigles du Congo	Rivers United	0 : 1, 0 : 0
29	African Stars	Vipers	0 : 1, 0 : 1
30	Power Dynamos	ASEC Mimosas	1 : 1, 1 : 0
31	St Eloi Lupopo	Al-Merreikh	0 : 0, 1 : 0
32	Lioli	Orlando Pirates	0 : 4, 0 : 3

Final

1	Aigle Noir	Al Ahly	0 : 1, 0 : 1
2	Ethiopian Insurance	Pyramids	1 : 1
3	Police FC	Al-Hilal Omdurman	1 : 3, 0 : 1
4	Rahimo	Esperance Tunis	0 : 3, 0 : 1
5	Al Ahly Tripoli	Berkane	1 : 1
6	Monastir	Kabylie	1 : 2, 0 : 3
7	Nouadhibou	Stade Malien	0 : 2, 1 : 1
8	Horoya	FAR Rabat	0 : 3, 1 : 1
9	Colombe	MC Alger	0 : 0, 1 : 1
10	Remo Stars	Mamelodi Sundowns	0 : 2, 1 : 5
11	Nsingizini Hotspurs	Simba	0 : 0, 0 : 3
12	Silver Strikers	Young Africans	0 : 2, 1 : 0
13	Stade d'Abidjan	Petro Atletico	0 : 2, 0 : 2
14	Black Bulls	Rivers United	1 : 3, 1 : 0
15	Vipers	Power Dynamos	1 : 1, 1 : 2
16	St Eloi Lupopo	Orlando Pirates	1 : 3, 3 : 0