Métlaoui vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport, Watania 1

Match Stats

Yellow cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Jabri A. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Bodian C. ,

Chances of winning


Métlaoui
17%
Draw
28.7%
Espérance ST
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 22.9% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7% 22.4% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Métlaoui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Métlaoui that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espérance ST could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Métlaoui - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.41
    (7.69)
    3.2
    (4.02)
    1.69
    (1.41)
    8.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Métlaoui - Espérance ST?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 0.
    • Métlaoui is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Espérance ST is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Métlaoui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Espérance ST is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Métlaoui won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Métlaoui - Espérance ST were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Espérance ST - Métlaoui 2:0
    12.02.2025 Espérance ST - Métlaoui 3:2
    03.10.2024 Métlaoui - Espérance ST 1:1
    12.11.2023 Métlaoui - Espérance ST 0:2
    02.09.2023 Espérance ST - Métlaoui 3:2
    Latest results of Métlaoui
    01.02.2026 Métlaoui - Stade Tunisien 0:0
    27.01.2026 Sfaxien - Métlaoui 2:0
    23.01.2026 Métlaoui - Soliman 2:2
    17.01.2026 Bizertin - Métlaoui 0:0
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esperance Tunis22155239:73250
    2Club Africain22146233:82548
    3Stade Tunisien22128227:72044
    4CS Sfaxien22126429:111842
    5Monastir22910323:131037
    6Etoile Sahel2296722:18433
    7JS Omrane22841017:25-828
    8Zarzis2276920:23-327
    9Metlaoui2269714:23-927
    10AS Marsa22811320:24-425
    11CA Bizertin2267912:20-825
    12Ben Guerdane2259814:19-524
    13JS Kairouan22631315:33-1821
    14Olympique Beja22531411:34-2318
    15AS Gabes22381110:25-1517
    16Soliman2227139:25-1613

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2