Result
1:1
25/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport, Watania 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Jabri A. ⚽,
- 57', 🟨,
- 60', 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Bodian C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Métlaoui
17% | Draw
28.7% | Espérance ST
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Métlaoui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Métlaoui that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espérance ST could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Métlaoui - Espérance ST Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.41 ↓
(7.69) |
3.2 ↓
(4.02) |
1.69 ↑
(1.41) |
8.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Métlaoui - Espérance ST?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 0.
- Métlaoui is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Espérance ST is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Métlaoui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Espérance ST is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Métlaoui won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Métlaoui won against Espérance ST?
Métlaoui has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Métlaoui?
Espérance ST has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Métlaoui - Espérance ST were as follows:
16.09.2025
Espérance ST
-
Métlaoui
2:0
12.02.2025
Espérance ST
-
Métlaoui
3:2
03.10.2024
Métlaoui
-
Espérance ST
1:1
12.11.2023
Métlaoui
-
Espérance ST
0:2
02.09.2023
Espérance ST
-
Métlaoui
3:2
Latest results of Métlaoui
Latest results of Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club Africain | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 41:9 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 38:12 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 27:14 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Monastir | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Etoile Sahel | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Metlaoui | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 36 |
| 8 | JS Omrane | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 21:28 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Ben Guerdane | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 18:21 | -3 | 34 |
| 10 | CA Bizertin | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | Zarzis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | AS Marsa | 27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 15:37 | -22 | 28 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 27 |
| 15 | Soliman | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 14:28 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 11:35 | -24 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
