Espérance ST vs Sfaxien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Espérance ST - Sfaxien
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tunisiaTunisiaWatania 1

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Yan Sasse , Ben Hamida M. (A),
  • 32', Absi M. 🟨,
  • 37', Derbali M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Jabri A. ,
  • 61', Ben Ali M. , Aidi M. ,
  • 67', Sekkouhi F. , Ajjal A. ,
  • 67', Trabelsi M. , Guesmi M. I. ,
  • 68', Yan Sasse , Mokwana E. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Absi M. 🟨,
  • 82', Haj H. H. , Sekrafi M. ,
  • 85', Ben Hamida M. 🟨,
  • 86', Belaili Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ogbelu O. , Tougai M. ,
  • 90+2', Belaili Y. , Bouzaiene E. ,
  • 90+6', Tougai M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Espérance ST
75.2%
Draw
18.8%
Sfaxien
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 22.2% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 21.1% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.
  • Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfaxien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Espérance ST - Sfaxien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.37)
    4.86
    (4.1)
    15.38
    (8)
    9.1%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 3.
    • Espérance ST has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sfaxien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Espérance ST is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Sfaxien were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:1
    20.06.2024 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:0
    01.05.2024 Espérance ST - Sfaxien 1:1
    27.12.2023 Espérance ST - Sfaxien 1:0
    24.09.2023 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:1
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Latest results of Sfaxien
    19.04.2025 Sfaxien - Métlaoui 1:1
    12.04.2025 Stade Tunisien - Sfaxien 1:1
    06.04.2025 Zriba-Hammam - Sfaxien 0:5
    12.03.2025 Sfaxien - Soliman 4:0
    08.03.2025 Tataouine - Sfaxien 0:0
    Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esperance Tunis30199257:223566
    2Monastir301711242:113162
    3Etoile Sahel30194745:242161
    4Club Africain30159634:191554
    5Zarzis30166838:29954
    6Stade Tunisien301310729:21849
    7CS Sfaxien301111831:191244
    8Metlaoui301110932:27543
    9CA Bizertin30981329:28135
    10Soliman307101318:38-2031
    11Ben Guerdane306121228:33-530
    12Olympique Beja30781519:37-1829
    13AS Gabes30681618:38-2026
    14JS Omrane304141225:46-2126
    15EGS Gafsa30642024:43-1922
    16US Tataouine30542119:53-3419

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2