Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Tunisia | Watania 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Yan Sasse ⚽, Ben Hamida M. (A),
- 32', Absi M. 🟨,
- 37', Derbali M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
- 61', Ben Ali M. ↓, Aidi M. ↑,
- 67', Sekkouhi F. ↓, Ajjal A. ↑,
- 67', Trabelsi M. ↓, Guesmi M. I. ↑,
- 68', Yan Sasse ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Absi M. 🟨,
- 82', Haj H. H. ↓, Sekrafi M. ↑,
- 85', Ben Hamida M. 🟨,
- 86', Belaili Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ogbelu O. ↓, Tougai M. ↑,
- 90+2', Belaili Y. ↓, Bouzaiene E. ↑,
- 90+6', Tougai M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Espérance ST
75.2% | Draw
18.8% | Sfaxien
6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfaxien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espérance ST that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Espérance ST - Sfaxien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.37) |
4.86 ↑
(4.1) |
15.38 ↑
(8) |
9.1%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 3.
- Espérance ST has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sfaxien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Espérance ST is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Sfaxien?
Espérance ST has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sfaxien won against Espérance ST?
Sfaxien has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Sfaxien were as follows:
29.12.2024
Sfaxien
-
Espérance ST
0:1
20.06.2024
Sfaxien
-
Espérance ST
0:0
01.05.2024
Espérance ST
-
Sfaxien
1:1
27.12.2023
Espérance ST
-
Sfaxien
1:0
24.09.2023
Sfaxien
-
Espérance ST
0:1
Latest results of Espérance ST
Latest results of Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ben Guerdane | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | JS Omrane | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | JS Kairouan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zarzis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CA Bizertin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Esperance Tunis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Monastir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | AS Gabes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | AS Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Soliman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Etoile Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Olympique Beja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
