Simba vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CAF Champions League - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.811.98
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
41
Passes
88% (388/443)81% (280/345)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
0.811.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.822.27
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
37
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1414
Passes
88% (388/443)81% (280/345)
Long passes
47% (22/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
77% (108/140)64% (56/88)
Crosses
5% (1/20)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.34
Throw ins
1411
Fouls
1414
Tackles
67% (8/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.271.82
Goals prevented
0.27-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Kapombe S. ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Kagoma Y. , Chama C. (A),
  • 45+4', Gueye L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Diarra J. , Boualia K. ,
  • 49', Ogbelu O. , Jebali C. ,
  • 58', Kagoma Y. , Camara N. ,
  • 62', Nangu W. , Toure O. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Diakite A. ,
  • 68', Kibu D. 🟨,
  • 69', Diakite A. , Danho F. ,
  • 69', Tka H. , Msakni Y. ,
  • 74', Kante A. 🟨,
  • 74', Gueye L. , Mpanzu E. ,
  • 74', Kibu D. , Mwalimu S. ,
  • 74', Kante A. , Abraham M. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Boualia K. , Msakni Y. (A),
  • 84', Yan Sasse , Drager M. ,
  • 90+4', Jelassi H. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Simba
34.3%
Draw
32.5%
Espérance ST
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 28% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.
  • Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Simba - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.22)
    2.83
    (3.31)
    2.77
    (2.15)
    8.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Simba - Espérance ST?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Simba: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Simba will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Simba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Espérance ST is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Espérance ST may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Espérance ST has had a series of home games.
    • Espérance ST is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Simba - Espérance ST were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Espérance ST - Simba 1:0
    Latest results of Simba
    29.01.2026 Simba - Mashujaa 2:0
    24.01.2026 Espérance ST - Simba 1:0
    18.01.2026 Simba - Mtibwa Sugar 1:1
    08.01.2026 Azam - Simba 1:0
    07.12.2025 Simba - Azam 0:2
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    24.01.2026 Espérance ST - Simba 1:0
    19.01.2026 Monastir - Espérance ST 2:1
    15.01.2026 Espérance ST - Gabès 2:1
    CAF Champions League Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pyramids651014:21216
    2Berkane63128:6210
    3Power Dynamos62134:7-37
    4Rivers United60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahly62408:3510
    2FAR Rabat62313:219
    3Young Africans62225:418
    4Kabylie60331:8-73


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman63219:7211
    2Mamelodi Sundowns62319:639
    3MC Alger62135:6-17
    4St Eloi Lupopo61234:8-45


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stade Malien63215:2311
    2Esperance Tunis62316:429
    3Petro Atletico61323:6-36
    4Simba61235:7-25

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