Stade Malien vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CAF Champions League
Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CAF Champions League - Round 5
  • Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.350.77
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
23
Passes
61% (115/190)73% (227/313)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.350.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.33
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
62
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1917
Passes
61% (115/190)73% (227/313)
Long passes
37% (20/54)49% (36/74)
Passes in final third
49% (36/74)54% (47/87)
Crosses
25% (4/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.48
Throw ins
3621
Fouls
1719
Tackles
87% (13/15)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
820
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.331.04
Goals prevented
0.330.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Nkeng T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jebali C. ↓, Yan Sasse ↑,
  • 46', Konate A. ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
  • 47', Bode A. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Coulibaly D. ⚽,
  • 65', Diakite A. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
  • 65', Ogbelu O. ↓, Tka H. ↑,
  • 71', Meriah Y. ↓, Drager M. ↑,
  • 72', Keita I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Nkeng T. ↓, Konare S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Diallo M. ↓, Issa H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stade Malien
25%		Draw
34.7%		Espérance ST
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 29.1% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.2% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Malien's form might have worsened.
  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Malien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Stade Malien - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.81 ↑
    (2.83)    		 2.59 ↓
    (3.19)    		 2.31 ↓
    (2.44)    		 8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Stade Malien - Espérance ST?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stade Malien will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 19% – 81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Stade Malien (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Stade Malien (votes: 1 - 20%). Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Stade Malien has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Espérance ST is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Espérance ST might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Malien - Espérance ST were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Espérance ST - Stade Malien 0:0
    Latest results of Stade Malien
    31.01.2026 Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien 0:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda 2:0
    17.01.2026 Stade Malien - Mali Coura 0:2
    10.01.2026 Bougouni - Stade Malien 0:0
    04.01.2026 Stade Malien - Onze Créateurs 1:0
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    01.02.2026 Simba - Espérance ST 2:2 ✺
    27.01.2026 Espérance ST - JS Kairouan 1:0
    24.01.2026 Espérance ST - Simba 1:0 ✺
    19.01.2026 Monastir - Espérance ST 2:1
    15.01.2026 Espérance ST - Gabès 2:1
    CAF Champions League Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pyramids651014:21216
    2Berkane63128:6210
    3Power Dynamos62134:7-37
    4Rivers United60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahly62408:3510
    2FAR Rabat62313:219
    3Young Africans62225:418
    4Kabylie60331:8-73


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman63219:7211
    2Mamelodi Sundowns62319:639
    3MC Alger62135:6-17
    4St Eloi Lupopo61234:8-45


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stade Malien63215:2311
    2Esperance Tunis62316:429
    3Petro Atletico61323:6-36
    4Simba61235:7-25

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