Esteghlal vs Aluminium Arak – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iran Pro League Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak
Result
5:1
02/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Rezaeian R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Eslami M. , Koushki A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Juma M. , Eslami M. (A),
  • 64', Rezavand A. , Ndong D. ,
  • 70', Koushki A. , Sadeghi A. ,
  • 70', Noori A. , Latifi A. ,
  • 76', Norouzifard B. , Bozorg S. ,
  • 76', Jafari R. , Kahrizi A. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Bozorg S. , Jahan Kohan A. (A),
  • 81', 4 - 1, Kojo J. , Hosseini H. (A),
  • 84', Jalali A. , Raphael Silva ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 1, Kojo J. ,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
44.1%
Draw
32.1%
Aluminium Arak
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 32.5% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 30.1% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Esteghlal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Aluminium Arak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.18)
    2.89
    (2.96)
    3.89
    (4.1)
    8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 3.
    • In recent matches, Esteghlal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aluminium Arak is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 0.8:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 1:1
    12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 0:1
    27.10.2023 Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak 1:0
    07.04.2023 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 0:1
    21.10.2022 Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak 0:0
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    26.04.2025 Esteghlal - Paykan 1:0
    21.04.2025 Esteghlal - Havadar 2:2
    04.04.2025 Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal 2:1
    Latest results of Aluminium Arak
    Iran Pro League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor30215457:193868
    2Sepahan301612248:212760
    3Persepolis30186642:202260
    4Foolad30158736:30653
    5Gol Gohar301211723:16747
    6Zob Ahan301012832:28442
    7Malavan301091133:33039
    8Aluminium Arak30714930:31-135
    9Esteghlal F.C307131030:33-334
    10Chadormalu308101222:28-634
    11Kheybar Khorramabad30891324:31-733
    12Esteghlal Khuzestan306131119:30-1131
    13Shams Azar Qazvin30781523:41-1829
    14Mes Rafsanjan306101424:38-1428
    15Nassaji Mazandaran303141315:28-1323
    16Havadar SC304101617:48-3122

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