Esteghlal vs Mes Rafsanjan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iran Pro League Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan
Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Asani J. , Ahmadi M. (A),
  • 29', Kurdic N. 🟨,
  • 38', Fallah S. , Aghasi A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kurdic N. , Fakhreddini M. ,
  • 54', Ashurmatov R. 🟨,
  • 77', Ahmadi M. , Zamani A. ,
  • 77', Koushki A. , Djenepo M. ,
  • 85', Sharifi M. , Karimzadeh M. H. ,
  • 85', Matheus Costa , Nikmehr A. ,
  • 85', Jolani A. , Ranjbar A. ,
  • 89', Asani J. , Eslami M. ,
  • 89', Saharkhizan S. , Nazon D. ,
  • 90+1', Munir El Haddadi 🟨,
  • 90+7', Fakhreddini M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
52.8%
Draw
28.6%
Mes Rafsanjan
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.3% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 29% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.87)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    5
    (4.09)
    7.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 3.
    • Recent form of Esteghlal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mes Rafsanjan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Esteghlal is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal 0:0
    09.11.2024 Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan 1:0
    06.04.2024 Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan 2:2
    07.10.2023 Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal 0:1
    12.05.2023 Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal 1:2
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    01.10.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Muharraq 0:1
    21.09.2025 Esteghlal - Paykan 2:2
    17.09.2025 Al Wasl - Esteghlal 7:1
    Latest results of Mes Rafsanjan
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esteghlal F.C834112:8413
    2Aluminium Arak84136:6013
    3Tractor733111:3812
    4Sepahan83328:6212
    5Malavan73315:4112
    6Gol Gohar83327:8-112
    7Persepolis82517:5211
    8Chadormalu82518:8011
    9Kheybar Khorramabad83148:9-110
    10Fajr Sepasi83326:7-19
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan83238:9-18
    12Foolad81433:5-27
    13Paykan81436:9-37
    14Zob Ahan81346:9-36
    15Mes Rafsanjan81344:8-46
    16Shams Azar Qazvin81528:9-15

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