Persepolis vs Esteghlal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iran Pro League Persepolis - Esteghlal
Result
2:1
27/02/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 21

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Cheshmi R. 🟨,
  • 42', Hosseini H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Kanaani H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Azadi M. R. , Kojo J. ,
  • 46', Ahmadi M. , Koushki A. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Koushki A. , Rezaeian R. (A),
  • 59', Pouraliganji M. 🟨,
  • 61', Faraji F. , Khodabandelou M. ,
  • 61', Eslami M. , Masharipov J. ,
  • 68', Ndong D. 🟨,
  • 68', Sarlak M. , Mehri S. ,
  • 74', Raphael Silva 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Alipour A. , Rafiei S. (A),
  • 80', Alishah O. , Gvelesiani G. ,
  • 80', Dursun S. , Al Kathir J. ,
  • 85', Alipour A. 🟨,
  • 90', Guendouz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Persepolis
34.5%
Draw
33.7%
Esteghlal
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 30.7% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 31.6% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persepolis's form might have worsened.
  • Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteghlal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persepolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Persepolis - Esteghlal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2)
    2.67
    (2.9)
    2.83
    (3.6)
    11.1%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Persepolis - Esteghlal?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Esteghlal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 3.
    • Recent matches Persepolis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Esteghlal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Esteghlal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Persepolis is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Persepolis - Esteghlal were as follows:
    25.09.2024 Esteghlal - Persepolis 0:1
    13.03.2024 Esteghlal - Persepolis 0:0
    14.12.2023 Persepolis - Esteghlal 1:1
    31.05.2023 Esteghlal - Persepolis 1:2
    23.04.2023 Persepolis - Esteghlal 1:0
    Latest results of Persepolis
    12.02.2025 Sepahan - Persepolis 3:2
    04.02.2025 Al-Hilal - Persepolis 4:1
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    Iran Pro League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor30215457:193868
    2Sepahan301612248:212760
    3Persepolis30186642:202260
    4Foolad30158736:30653
    5Gol Gohar301211723:16747
    6Zob Ahan301012832:28442
    7Malavan301091133:33039
    8Aluminium Arak30714930:31-135
    9Esteghlal F.C307131030:33-334
    10Chadormalu308101222:28-634
    11Kheybar Khorramabad30891324:31-733
    12Esteghlal Khuzestan306131119:30-1131
    13Shams Azar Qazvin30781523:41-1829
    14Mes Rafsanjan306101424:38-1428
    15Nassaji Mazandaran303141315:28-1323
    16Havadar SC304101617:48-3122

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