Águilas vs Estepona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Enriquez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 71', 2 - 0, Martinez C. (Pen),
  • 81', 2 - 1, Aguilera J. ,
  • 90+1', Hidalgo A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Águilas
51.4%
Draw
30.2%
Estepona
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.4% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 27.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Águilas - Estepona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.75)
    3
    (3.2)
    4.92
    (4.6)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Águilas - Estepona?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Águilas (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Águilas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Estepona is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Águilas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Águilas is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Águilas - Estepona were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Estepona - Águilas 3:1
    13.10.2024 Águilas - Estepona 0:0
    21.01.2024 Águilas - Estepona 1:0
    10.09.2023 Estepona - Águilas 2:1
    Latest results of Águilas
    16.11.2025 Minera - Águilas 0:2
    09.11.2025 Águilas - Melilla 3:1
    02.11.2025 Puente Genil - Águilas 1:0
    19.10.2025 Xerez Deportivo - Águilas 1:1
    Latest results of Estepona
    16.11.2025 Estepona - Antoniano 1:2
    09.11.2025 CD Extremadura - Estepona 3:2
    02.11.2025 Estepona - Lorca Deportiva 1:3
    30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3
    25.10.2025 UCAM Murcia - Estepona 2:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura311511548:351356
    2UCAM Murcia31167847:341355
    3Aguilas FC31167840:231755
    4Deportiva Minera31166943:291454
    5Xerez CD31166931:24754
    6Recreativo Huelva31149837:211651
    7Jaen31149838:30851
    8Lorca Deportiva311281130:31-144
    9Linares311014735:38-344
    10Yeclano311251429:29041
    11Antoniano311171333:36-340
    12La Union311161437:38-139
    13Puente Genil319101225:33-837
    14CD Estepona311071434:40-637
    15Xerez D.F.C318111231:38-735
    16Melilla317121231:32-133
    17Almeria B ✔ 31481922:46-2420
    18Malaga B ✔ 31452225:59-3417

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Almeria B is Relegated to
    Malaga B is Relegated to