Estonia vs Portugal, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket
Result
65:68
03/09/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyDAZN Italia
portugalPortugalRTP 1
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5958
Field Goals Made
2323
Field Goals %
39%39.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2830
2-Point Field Goals Made
1117
2-Point Field Goals %
39.3%56.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3128
3-Point Field Goals Made
126
3-Point Field Goals %
38.7%21.4%
Free Throws Attempted
927
Free Throws Made
716
Free Throws %
77.8%59.3%
Offensive Rebounds
910
Defensive Rebounds
3225
Total Rebounds
4135
Assists
2019
Blocks
13
Turnovers
179
Steals
38
Personal Fouls
2614

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estonia
58%		Portugal
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%

Estonia - Portugal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.67 ↓
(2.02)
2.25 ↑
(1.8)		 4.2%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 148.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Estonia - Portugal?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Portugal will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estonia: 34.6% – 73%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Estonia (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Portugal (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5, OT - Portugal (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5, OT - Estonia (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5, OT - Estonia (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5, OT - Estonia (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +8.5, OT - Estonia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5, OT - Estonia (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5, OT - Estonia (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5, OT - Estonia (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5, OT - Estonia (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4, OT - Estonia (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Estonia (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3, OT - Estonia (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Estonia (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2, OT - Estonia (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Estonia (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, OT - Estonia (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, OT - Estonia (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Estonia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Estonia (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 154.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 155.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 156.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 157.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 158.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 159.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 160.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 161.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 162.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 163.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 151.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 152, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 152.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 153, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 153.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 145.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 149, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Estonia (votes: 31 - 81.6%). Portugal (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:73.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Estonia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portugal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Estonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 383:327. (average 76.6:65.4).
    Latest results of Estonia
    01.09.2025 Estonia - Turkey 64:84 ✺
    30.08.2025 Czech Republic - Estonia 75:89 ✺
    29.08.2025 Estonia - Latvia 70:72 ✺
    27.08.2025 Serbia - Estonia 98:64 ✺
    22.08.2025 Estonia - Great Britain 62:72 ✺
    Latest results of Portugal
    01.09.2025 Portugal - Latvia 62:78 ✺
    30.08.2025 Turkey - Portugal 95:54 ✺
    29.08.2025 Portugal - Serbia 69:80 ✺
    27.08.2025 Czech Republic - Portugal 50:62 ✺
    16.08.2025 Portugal - Sweden 78:61
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89
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