Estonia vs Portugal, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Estonia - Portugal
03/09/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyDAZN Italia
portugalPortugalRTP 1
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Chances of winning


Estonia
52.7%
Portugal
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.
  • Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portugal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estonia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estonia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estonia - Portugal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.02)

    2.02
    (1.8)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 150.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Estonia - Portugal?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Portugal will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estonia (votes: 1 - 50%). Portugal (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:74.
  • Preview Facts
    • Estonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portugal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portugal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 383:327. (average 76.6:65.4).
    Latest results of Estonia
    01.09.2025 Estonia - Turkey 64:84
    30.08.2025 Czech Republic - Estonia 75:89
    29.08.2025 Estonia - Latvia 70:72
    27.08.2025 Serbia - Estonia 98:64
    22.08.2025 Estonia - Great Britain 62:72
    Latest results of Portugal
    01.09.2025 Portugal - Latvia 62:78
    30.08.2025 Turkey - Portugal 95:54
    29.08.2025 Portugal - Serbia 69:80
    27.08.2025 Czech Republic - Portugal 50:62
    16.08.2025 Portugal - Sweden 78:61
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey ✔ 440364:2698
    2Serbia ✔ 440344:2738
    3Latvia ✔ 422303:3096
    4Estonia413287:3295
    5Portugal413247:3035
    6Czech Republic404263:3254


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany ✔ 440438:3048
    2Lithuania ✔ 431357:3227
    3Finland ✔ 431365:3157
    4Montenegro413295:3665
    5Sweden413332:3445
    6Great Britain404265:4014


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece ✔ 431342:2687
    2Bosnia & Herzegovina422317:3256
    3Spain321248:1975
    4Italy321240:2165
    5Georgia312198:2414
    6Cyprus303180:2783


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1Israel431321:2957
    2Poland ✔ 330255:2346
    3France321264:2415
    4Belgium413293:3345
    5Slovenia312276:2774
    6Iceland303210:2383

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Turkey is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Serbia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Latvia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Germany is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Finland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)