Barreirense vs Estrela da Amadora B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B
Result
2:1
02/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 🟥,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Barreirense
24.4%
Draw
26.4%
Estrela da Amadora B
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 28% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.5% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barreirense's form might have worsened.
  • Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrela da Amadora B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (2.07)
    3.43
    (3.25)
    1.84
    (3.24)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Barreirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Estrela B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Barreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Barreirense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Estrela da Amadora B - Barreirense 2:0
    Latest results of Barreirense
    23.02.2025 Operário - Barreirense 0:2
    16.02.2025 Barreirense - Sintrense 1:1
    09.02.2025 Lusitano GC - Barreirense 2:0
    02.02.2025 Barreirense - Louletano 2:3
    26.01.2025 Serpa - Barreirense 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1