Leixões vs Estrela da Amadora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/03/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leixões
26.6%
Draw
27.8%
Estrela da Amadora
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 29.1% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.7% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Leixões - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.01)
    3.31
    (3.14)
    2.03
    (2.25)
    8.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Recent matches Leixões is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Estrela da Amadora - Leixões 2:2
    Latest results of Leixões
    05.03.2023 Farense - Leixões 1:0
    25.02.2023 Leixões - Benfica B 1:1
    19.02.2023 Nacional - Leixões 1:2
    11.02.2023 Leixões - Feirense 0:1
    05.02.2023 Trofense - Leixões 0:1
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo23145437:162147
    2Academico Viseu23125641:251641
    3Sporting CP B23122937:221538
    4Torreense23113928:24436
    5Lusitania FC2397732:35-334
    6FC Porto B23104928:31-334
    7Leiria2288633:31232
    8Vizela2388727:26132
    9Feirense2387828:27131
    10Benfica B2379732:30230
    11Chaves2386925:21430
    12Leixoes23841126:40-1428
    13Felgueiras2377924:30-628
    14Penafiel23761020:22-227
    15Oliveirense23671026:33-725
    16Portimonense23661125:34-924
    17SC Farense23661120:30-1024
    18Pacos Ferreira2258920:32-1223

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3