Deportivo Nacional vs Estrella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Aruban Division di Honor Deportivo Nacional - Estrella
03/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division di Honor - Winners stage - Round 9

Chances of winning


Deportivo Nacional
55.7%
Draw
19%
Estrella
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 20.2% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 19% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Nacional's performance.
  • Estrella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nacional than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Nacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Nacional - Estrella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.92)
    4.9
    (4.5)
    3.67
    (2.8)
    7.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Nacional won 4.
    • Recent form of Deportivo Nacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Estrella has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Estrella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Estrella has had a series of home games.
    • Deportivo Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Nacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 3.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Nacional - Estrella were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Estrella - Deportivo Nacional 1:2
    10.11.2024 Estrella - Deportivo Nacional 1:0
    01.06.2024 Deportivo Nacional - Estrella 6:3
    02.03.2024 Deportivo Nacional - Estrella 4:1
    13.05.2023 Estrella - Deportivo Nacional 0:4
    Latest results of Deportivo Nacional
    Latest results of Estrella
    25.04.2025 Estrella - La Fama 1:2
    12.04.2025 Estrella - Dakota 0:1
    29.03.2025 Estrella - Britannia 0:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1BritanniaDakota1 : 0