Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
- Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Bittolo M. 🟨,
- 40', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
- 43', Zarate N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽,
- 66', Disanto L. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 67', Silva H. 🟨,
- 71', Brinone S. 🟥,
- 75', Farioli B. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
- 75', Lusnig L. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
- 79', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
- 80', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
- 81', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 81', Silva H. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
- 87', Squie T. 🟨,
- 88', Costantino I. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
- 88', Correa J. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
- 88', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Lazza E. ↑,
- 89', Squie T. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Caseros
47.3% | Draw
32.5% | Deportivo Morón
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Caseros's form might have worsened.Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Caseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-1%)
Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.76) |
2.86 ↓
(3.45) |
4.6 ↓
(4.7) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 2.
- Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Morón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Deportivo Morón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Caseros won against Deportivo Morón?
Estudiantes de Caseros has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Morón won against Estudiantes de Caseros?
Deportivo Morón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón were as follows:
Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
Latest results of Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
