Estudiantes de Caseros vs Deportivo Morón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional
Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 12
  • Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
22
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
11
Total shots
22
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Bittolo M. 🟨,
  • 40', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
  • 43', Zarate N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽,
  • 66', Disanto L. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
  • 67', Silva H. 🟨,
  • 71', Brinone S. 🟥,
  • 75', Farioli B. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
  • 75', Lusnig L. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
  • 79', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
  • 80', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
  • 81', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
  • 81', Silva H. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
  • 87', Squie T. 🟨,
  • 88', Costantino I. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
  • 88', Correa J. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
  • 88', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Lazza E. ↑,
  • 89', Squie T. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
47.3%		Draw
32.5%		Deportivo Morón
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 27.1% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 27.9% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Caseros's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Caseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↑
    (1.76)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3.45)    		 4.6 ↓
    (4.7)    		 7.6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 2.
    • Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Deportivo Morón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Deportivo Morón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
    20.04.2025 Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Estudiantes de Caseros 0:1 ✺
    16.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Deportivo Morón
    20.04.2025 Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Morón - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada 3:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano 1:0 ✺
    23.03.2025 Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Morón 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn271211438:241447
    2Atletico Atlanta261110525:18743
    3San Miguel271110628:22643
    4Gimnasia y Tiro271010723:15840
    5Tristan Suarez27913524:19540
    6San Martin T25109623:19439
    7Patronato26108828:24438
    8Deportivo Maipu2699824:23136
    9Los Andes27981026:24235
    10Racing Cordoba27891031:35-433
    11Colegiales27961217:22-533
    12All Boys26612820:21-130
    13Quilmes26791025:27-230
    14Almagro26791020:24-430
    15Ferro27791116:27-1130
    16Club A. Guemes26415722:27-527
    17Alvarado255101017:24-725
    18Arsenal Sarandi26591226:38-1224


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza261410229:121752
    2Gimnasia Jujuy271311331:131850
    3Chacarita Juniors27129632:201245
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto271111527:171044
    5Temperley271111523:17644
    6Deportivo Moron261110528:161243
    7Chaco For Ever271341028:23543
    8CA Estudiantes27126928:19942
    9Agropecuario2698929:30-135
    10San Telmo27811825:29-435
    11Nueva Chicago26881024:26-232
    12CA Mitre26881018:20-232
    13Def. de Belgrano26710919:21-231
    14Central Norte26851322:30-829
    15Colon Santa Fe27831620:33-1327
    16Almirante Brown275101221:31-1025
    17Talleres (R.E)27451813:32-1917
    18Defensores Unidos262101414:42-2816

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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