Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/413) | 65% (158/243) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/413) | 65% (158/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (84/127) | 49% (39/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Pena A. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Browne O. ⚽, Roberts E. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Pernia E. ⚽, Casiani L. (A),
- 35', Ponce A. 🟨,
- 42', Cedeno J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cedeno J. ↓, Contreras H. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Pena A. ⚽,
- 65', Casiani L. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez Y. ↓, Linares H. ↑,
- 65', Rojas R. ↓, Pagnano P. ↑,
- 67', Mehring A. 🟨,
- 71', Pena A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 71', Rivas C. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 82', Makosso K. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
- 84', Ajam Elias ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Academia Puerto Cabello
48.8% | Draw
28% | Estudiantes de Mérida
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Academia Puerto Cabello's performance.Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Mérida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes de Mérida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.1) |
3.33
(3.33) |
4.02 ↑
(3) |
7.2%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Puerto Cabello may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Puerto Cabello might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Cabello won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Puerto Cabello won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Academia Puerto Cabello has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Academia Puerto Cabello?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
18.04.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
07.08.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
2:1
17.02.2024
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:1
30.09.2023
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
12.02.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:3
Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Carabobo ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Monagas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Caracas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Zamora ✔ | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 14 |
| 10 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
