Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Caripa L. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (201/277) | 80% (283/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (201/277) | 80% (283/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 58% (38/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (64/105) | 62% (71/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
- 39', Linares H. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽, Pena A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez O. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
- 53', Rojas R. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 53', Linares H. ↓, Mangana R. ↑,
- 62', Khelifi S. ↓, Guerrero R. ↑,
- 67', Echeverria J. 🟨,
- 70', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 73', Moreno J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 77', Manzambi N. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
- 82', Pena A. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 82', Hernandez J. ↓, Ajam Elias ↑,
- 87', Cedeno J. 🟨,
- 89', Mina L. M. 🟨,
- 90', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
41.2% | Draw
29.3% | Academia Puerto Cabello
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Mérida's performance.Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Academia Puerto Cabello might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Academia Puerto Cabello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(3.4) |
3.15 ↓
(3.27) |
3.12 ↑
(2.1) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Est de Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 1.
- Est de Mérida has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Puerto Cabello could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Our prediction for today's Puerto Cabello to win the game is with odds 2.88.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Academia Puerto Cabello?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Puerto Cabello won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Academia Puerto Cabello has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello were as follows:
07.08.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
2:1
17.02.2024
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:1
30.09.2023
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
12.02.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:3
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
