Atlético El Vigía vs Estudiantes de Mérida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Venezuela Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida
Result
1:3
09/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Venezuela - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Lobo J. ,
  • 11', 0 - 2, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 0 - 3, Ajam Elias ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Hernandez G. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético El Vigía
21.1%
Draw
25.3%
Estudiantes de Mérida
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 26.2% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 25.8% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético El Vigía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.3
    (4.22)
    3.59
    (3.42)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    10.2%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Est de Mérida is Qualified for Copa Venezuela (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 0.
    • In recent matches, El Vigía has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Est de Mérida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Est de Mérida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Est de Mérida is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Vigía won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía 4:0
    27.06.2024 Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida 0:0
    06.06.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía 4:2
    Latest results of Atlético El Vigía
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1FronteraLa Guaira0 : 2, 0 : 1
    2CaracasMetropolitanos2 : 2, 2 : 0
    3BarquisimetoUniversidad Central2 : 2, 0 : 1
    4MaritimoAnzoategui FC2 : 3, 0 : 0
    5Dynamo PuertoCarabobo0 : 5, 0 : 1
    6Estudiantes MeridaPortuguesa0 : 1, 2 : 2
    7Rayo ZulianoDep. Tachira1 : 4, 0 : 2
    8MonagasPuerto Cabello3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1La GuairaCaracas
    2Universidad CentralAnzoategui FC
    3CaraboboPortuguesa
    4Dep. TachiraMonagas

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2