Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/420) | 88% (451/513) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/420) | 88% (451/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 67% (48/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 73% (97/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 28', Lamadrid K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Lamadrid K. ⚽, Castellanos J. (A),
- 61', Pena A. ↓, Browne O. ↑,
- 68', Moreno J. ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
- 71', Castellanos J. ↓, Osorio Y. ↑,
- 71', Rivas Y. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 79', Ibarra R. 🟨,
- 81', Lamadrid K. ↓, Caraballo J. ↑,
- 89', Ibarra R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 90+8', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 90+11', 1 - 2, Peralta R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
28.5% | Draw
29.4% | Deportivo La Guaira
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.45) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
2.2 ↑
(2.02) |
8%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.
- Recent performances by Est de Mérida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo La Guaira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Est de Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
13.11.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
3:1
30.10.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
27.09.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:1
07.07.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
31.03.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Carabobo ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Monagas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Caracas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Zamora ✔ | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 14 |
| 10 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
