Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
06/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.901.34
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
22
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Passes
76% (222/292)85% (383/448)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.901.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.14
Total shots
168
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1412
Passes
76% (222/292)85% (383/448)
Long passes
38% (27/71)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
54% (59/109)76% (100/132)
Crosses
42% (5/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.92
Throw ins
237
Fouls
1214
Tackles
76% (13/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5942
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.140.57
Goals prevented
0.140.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Montero A. 🟨,
  • 33', Rojas T. 🟥,
  • 37', Montero A. , Roberts E. ,
  • 42', Arace R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Rivero C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arace R. , Vargas J. ,
  • 46', Lobo J. , Rivas C. ,
  • 57', Acosta H. 🟨,
  • 59', Martinez L. , Hernandez N. ,
  • 59', Uribe A. , Sulbaran M. ,
  • 65', Rivas C. 🟨,
  • 70', Magallan C. , Azocar J. ,
  • 74', Meza J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 74', Faya C. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 75', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
  • 83', Montilla Maldonado J. A. , Rivera B. ,
  • 83', Quejada K. , Ajam Elias ,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. , Sulbaran M. (A),
  • 90+1', Vargas J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
26.6%
Draw
30.5%
Deportivo La Guaira
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 29.4% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 29.1% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.5)
    3.01
    (3.13)
    2.14
    (2.08)
    9.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.
    • Recent performances by Est de Mérida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo La Guaira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira 1:2
    13.11.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:1
    30.10.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira 0:1
    27.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa10101:101
    2La Guaira10101:101
    3Universidad Central10101:101
    4Puerto Cabello10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes Merida11002:113
    2Carabobo00000:000
    3Metropolitanos00000:000
    4Dep. Tachira10011:2-10

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