Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 2
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.84 | 0.24 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
76% (247/325) | 80% (374/466) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.84 | 0.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 0.74 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
76% (247/325) | 80% (374/466) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (17/47) | 50% (39/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (61/89) | 56% (67/120) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.92 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (14/16) | 100% (16/16) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.74 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.26 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 37', Pernia H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Pernia H. ↓, Chacon P. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Browne O. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 57', Diaz T. ↓, Univaso A. ↑,
- 57', Porcile P. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
- 65', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 70', Pena A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez M. ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
- 77', Gallardo E. 🟨,
- 80', Manenti F. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
- 80', Romero A. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
- 86', Browne O. ↓, Ajam Elias ↑,
- 86', Hernandez J. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
- 90', Alderete E. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Sequera J. ⚽, Sulbaran S. (A),
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida 45.1% | Draw 28.3% | Zamora 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Zamora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.85) |
3.25 ↓ (3.52) |
3.45 ↓ (3.74) |
8.8% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Zamora?
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes de Mérida will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 2.
- Est de Mérida is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zamora has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Est de Mérida has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Est de Mérida is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Zamora?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Zamora has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Zamora were as follows:
02.02.2025
Zamora
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:1
16.01.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Zamora
2:1
05.10.2024
Zamora
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
06.04.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Zamora
3:1
11.01.2024
Zamora
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:1
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
7 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )