Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Rede Globo, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (449/512) | 81% (304/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (449/512) | 81% (304/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (44/62) | 50% (34/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 58% (31/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽, Artur (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
- 59', Gabriel Neves ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
- 59', Alario L. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 59', Sosa J. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Palacios T. (Pen),
- 65', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
- 75', Rwan Cruz ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽,
- 79', Boselli S. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 83', Alex Telles ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Artur ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
- 89', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 89', Artur ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
- 90', Arzamendia S. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 90', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 90+3', Meza E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
49.6% | Draw
28.5% | Estudiantes La Plata
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.95) |
3.31 ↑
(3.29) |
4.31 ↑
(4.11) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Inactive)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalo Mastriani
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Savarino J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Medina C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Estudiantes: Castro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Botafogo RJ?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
23.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
