Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Rede Globo, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
88% (449/512) | 81% (304/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.74 | 1.73 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
88% (449/512) | 81% (304/375) |
Long passes |
---|
71% (44/62) | 50% (34/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (92/127) | 58% (31/53) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (12/34) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.32 | 0.17 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 30 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.73 | 2.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.27 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽, Artur (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
- 59', Gabriel Neves ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
- 59', Alario L. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 59', Sosa J. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Palacios T. (Pen),
- 65', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
- 75', Rwan Cruz ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽,
- 79', Boselli S. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 83', Alex Telles ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Artur ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
- 89', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 89', Artur ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
- 90', Arzamendia S. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 90', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 90+3', Meza E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ 49.6% | Draw 28.5% | Estudiantes La Plata 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (1.95) |
3.31 ↑ (3.29) |
4.31 ↑ (4.11) |
5.8% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Inactive)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalo Mastriani
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Savarino J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Medina C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Estudiantes: Castro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Botafogo RJ?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
23.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)