Result
1:1
08/06/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 85 | 88 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 34 | 47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Correa J. 🟨,
- 15', Rodrigo Ely 🟨,
- 23', Benedetti G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Cristaldo F. ⚽, Costa D. (A),
- 55', Costa D. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 55', Pavon C. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 66', Benedetti G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 66', Manyoma A. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 70', Cetre E. 🟨,
- 77', Correa J. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
- 77', Piatti P. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
- 78', Cristaldo F. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 78', Soteldo Y. ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Mendez M. ⚽, Sosa J. (A),
- 84', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 84', Zuqui F. 🟨,
- 85', Pepe ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 86', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
59.3% | Draw
24.4% | Estudiantes La Plata
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+21.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(2.17) |
3.82 ↓
(4.4) |
5.82 ↑
(2.17) |
6.6%
(14.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Grêmio is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Grêmio?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
23.04.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Grêmio
0:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
