Result
0:1
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 16
- Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 31', Keller S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Singh L. 🟨,
- 59', Bogdan L. ↓, Sawo Z. ↑,
- 64', Ofori R. 🟨,
- 66', Gonzalez P. ↓, Andereggen N. ↑,
- 66', Maia M. ↓, Kane M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Sawo Z. ⚽,
- 71', Makris A. ↓, Forestieri F. ↑,
- 71', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Szoke J. ↑,
- 71', Jradi B. Z. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
- 72', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Pechlivanis M. ↑,
- 77', Paroutis D. 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 79', Ofori R. 🟨,
- 83', Luis Felipe ↓, Bahanack P. ↑,
- 90+4', Singh L. ↓, Papafotis V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ethnikos Achna
31% | Draw
27.2% | AEL Limassol
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+2%)
Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(2.98) |
3.39 ↓
(3.49) |
2.2 ↓
(2.23) |
8.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - AEL (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AEL Limassol will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEL Limassol will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 14.3%). AEL (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 1.
- Ethnikos Achna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AEL has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Ethnikos Achna has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
Toumpas I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in AEL: Neofytou K.
(Surgery)
Ouedraogo D.
(Injury)
Thomalla D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against AEL Limassol?
Ethnikos Achna has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Limassol won against Ethnikos Achna?
AEL Limassol has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol were as follows:
14.09.2025
AEL Limassol
-
Ethnikos Achna
2:2
16.08.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
1:3
03.05.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
2:0
19.01.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
0:0
05.10.2024
AEL Limassol
-
Ethnikos Achna
5:2
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Latest results of AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
