Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Relegation Group
- Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Giousis C. ⚽,
- 43', Giousis C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 1, Panagiotou Filiotis A. ⚽,
- 58', Forestieri F. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
- 58', Paroutis D. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
- 60', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
- 76', Maseko T. ↓, Neofytou K. ↑,
- 78', Sawo Z. 🟨,
- 81', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
- 83', Confais A. ↓, Angelopoulos G. N. ↑,
- 83', Andereggen N. 🟨,
- 87', Szoke J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Machado L. ↓, Giallouros N. ↑,
- 90+5', Giousis C. ↓, Psaltis P. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Limassol
47.2% | Draw
26.8% | Ethnikos Achna
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethnikos Achna's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethnikos Achna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.76) |
3.45 ↓
(3.48) |
3.55 ↓
(4.42) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna?
Users Predictions:
AEL Limassol will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEL is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in AEL: Bogdan L.
(Inactive)
Jradi B. Z.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Andereggen N.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Ethnikos Achna: Ofori R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Limassol won against Ethnikos Achna?
AEL Limassol has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against AEL Limassol?
Ethnikos Achna has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna were as follows:
03.01.2026
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
0:1
14.09.2025
AEL Limassol
-
Ethnikos Achna
2:2
16.08.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
1:3
03.05.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
2:0
19.01.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEL Limassol
0:0
Latest results of AEL Limassol
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 50:22 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Apollon | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Pafos | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 54:25 | 29 | 52 |
| 5 | APOEL | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Aris | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 44 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
