AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Relegation Group
  • Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
11
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
117
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
11
Offsides
10
Free kicks
2014
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
1320

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Giousis C. ,
  • 43', Giousis C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Panagiotou Filiotis A. ,
  • 58', Forestieri F. , Makris A. ,
  • 58', Paroutis D. , Mughe F. R. ,
  • 60', Papageorgiou G. , Gonzalez P. ,
  • 76', Maseko T. , Neofytou K. ,
  • 78', Sawo Z. 🟨,
  • 81', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
  • 83', Confais A. , Angelopoulos G. N. ,
  • 83', Andereggen N. 🟨,
  • 87', Szoke J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Machado L. , Giallouros N. ,
  • 90+5', Giousis C. , Psaltis P. ,

Chances of winning


AEL Limassol
47.2%
Draw
26.8%
Ethnikos Achna
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 26.5% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.9% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.
  • Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethnikos Achna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethnikos Achna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.76)
    3.45
    (3.48)
    3.55
    (4.42)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna?
  • Users Predictions: AEL Limassol will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AEL is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in AEL: Bogdan L. (Inactive) Jradi B. Z. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Andereggen N. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ethnikos Achna: Ofori R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol 0:1
    14.09.2025 AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna 2:2
    16.08.2025 Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol 1:3
    03.05.2025 Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol 2:0
    19.01.2025 Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol 0:0
    Latest results of AEL Limassol
    Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
    Cypriot First Division Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7AEL Limassol281141335:39-437
    8Anorthosis28811926:36-1035
    9Krasava281041429:36-734
    10Omonia Aradippou281041424:36-1234
    11Ol. Nicosia287101125:39-1431
    12Achnas28831727:45-1827
    13Chloraka28751625:53-2826
    14Paralimni2811268:71-634

          Relegation ~ Division 2