Etincelles vs Al-Merreikh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App
rwandaRwandaMagic Sports TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Etincelles
25.4%
Draw
32.4%
Al-Merreikh
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 30.7% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 29.7% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Etincelles - Al-Merreikh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (3.85)
    2.78
    (2.95)
    2.13
    (1.99)
    11%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent performances by Etincelles have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Merreikh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Etincelles has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of home games.
    • Al-Merreikh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Etincelles
    13.12.2025 Musanze - Etincelles 1:3
    05.12.2025 Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles 4:1
    02.12.2025 APR - Etincelles 2:1
    22.11.2025 Amagaju - Etincelles 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Merreikh
    14.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Amagaju 1:0
    10.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Marines 1:0
    07.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Kigali 2:1
    03.12.2025 Rutsiro - Al-Merreikh 0:1
    30.11.2025 Al-Merreikh - Gorilla 0:1
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman25174457:193855
    2APR261410236:191752
    3Al-Merreikh251310228:141449
    4Rayon Sport261110531:25643
    5Kiyovu26119629:171242
    6Police261011524:16841
    7Mukura Victory Sports26108828:27138
    8Marines26107934:30437
    9Bugesera26107928:25337
    10Musanze261061033:28536
    11Gorilla26781120:29-929
    12Gicumbi26681227:41-1426
    13Gasogi United26681217:32-1526
    14AS Kigali265101119:29-1025
    15Amagaju26661414:32-1824
    16Etincelles263131018:30-1222
    17Rutsiro26491325:36-1121
    18Muhanga26561517:36-1921

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation