Result
1:2
17/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Etincelles
25.4% | Draw
32.4% | Al-Merreikh
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+5%)
Etincelles - Al-Merreikh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↓
(3.85) |
2.78 ↓
(2.95) |
2.13 ↑
(1.99) |
11%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Recent performances by Etincelles have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Merreikh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Etincelles has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of home games.
- Al-Merreikh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Al-Merreikh?
Etincelles has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Merreikh won against Etincelles?
Al-Merreikh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Etincelles - Al-Merreikh were as follows:
Latest results of Etincelles
Latest results of Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
