Result
1:2
17/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Etincelles
25.4% | Draw
32.4% | Al-Merreikh
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+5%)
Etincelles - Al-Merreikh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↓
(3.85) |
2.78 ↓
(2.95) |
2.13 ↑
(1.99) |
11%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Recent performances by Etincelles have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Merreikh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Etincelles has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of home games.
- Al-Merreikh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Al-Merreikh?
Etincelles has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Merreikh won against Etincelles?
Al-Merreikh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Etincelles - Al-Merreikh were as follows:
Latest results of Etincelles
Latest results of Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 25:38 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
