Result
2:1
22/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 4
- Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (329/404) | 83% (425/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (329/404) | 83% (425/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 67% (55/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 0% (0/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Saiz F. ⚽, Ben Seghir S. (A),
- 30', Ben Seghir S. 🟨,
- 44', Fontana J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Caslei B. ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 57', Boulkous N. ↓, Rufli V. ↑,
- 57', Holcbecher M. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Maouche Y. ⚽, Zrankeon G. (A),
- 66', Sestito L. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 69', Streit N. ↓, Deme M. ↑,
- 71', Demhasaj S. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 71', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Kone K. ⚽, Saiz F. (A),
- 78', Bossiwa S. ↓, Ricardo Alves ↑,
- 82', Saiz F. ↓, Sidibe I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
45.3% | Draw
26.7% | Étoile Carouge
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.21) |
3.45 ↑
(3.45) |
3.3 ↑
(2.97) |
8.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xamax: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
- In recent matches, Xamax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Étoile is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Étoile has had a series of away games.
- Xamax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
Reinhard S.
(Inactive)
Zahaj E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Hysenaj F.
(Injury)
Rufli V.
(Inactive)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Xamax: Deme M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Étoile Carouge?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Étoile Carouge has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
09.05.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Étoile Carouge
1:2
07.02.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
18.10.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
26.07.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
3:1
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Wil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
