Result
2:1
22/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 4
- Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.82 | 0.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (329/404) | 83% (425/509) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.82 | 0.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.33 | 0.17 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (329/404) | 83% (425/509) |
Long passes |
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55% (39/71) | 56% (25/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (72/109) | 67% (55/82) |
Crosses |
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35% (7/20) | 0% (0/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.12 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 7 |
Tackles |
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83% (19/23) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.17 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.83 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Saiz F. ⚽, Ben Seghir S. (A),
- 30', Ben Seghir S. 🟨,
- 44', Fontana J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Caslei B. ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 57', Boulkous N. ↓, Rufli V. ↑,
- 57', Holcbecher M. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Maouche Y. ⚽, Zrankeon G. (A),
- 66', Sestito L. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 69', Streit N. ↓, Deme M. ↑,
- 71', Demhasaj S. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 71', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Kone K. ⚽, Saiz F. (A),
- 78', Bossiwa S. ↓, Ricardo Alves ↑,
- 82', Saiz F. ↓, Sidibe I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax 45.3% | Draw 26.7% | Étoile Carouge 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.21) |
3.45 ↑ (3.45) |
3.3 ↑ (2.97) |
8.5% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xamax: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
- In recent matches, Xamax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Étoile is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Étoile has had a series of away games.
- Xamax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
Reinhard S.
(Inactive)
Zahaj E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Hysenaj F.
(Injury)
Rufli V.
(Inactive)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Xamax: Deme M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Étoile Carouge?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Étoile Carouge has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
09.05.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Étoile Carouge
1:2
07.02.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
18.10.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
26.07.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
3:1
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Aarau | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Vaduz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
3 | Yverdon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Xamax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
5 | Stade Nyonnais | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
6 | Lausanne Ouchy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
8 | Wil | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
9 | Etoile-Carouge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
10 | Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League