Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 34
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/507) | 87% (404/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/507) | 87% (404/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (41/56) | 65% (26/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (82/113) | 72% (79/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 50% (14/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Caslei B. ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
- 18', Traore B. 🟨,
- 35', Kone K. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Demhasaj S. ⚽,
- 38', Mulaj L. 🟨,
- 43', Facchinetti M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Caslei B. ⚽, Correia O. (A),
- 45+1', Camara S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Facchinetti M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
- 46', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 68', Maouche Y. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 69', Mulaj L. ↓, Sidibe I. ↑,
- 69', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Lentini F. ↑,
- 81', Hajrulahu L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
- 82', Correia O. ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 82', Camara S. ↓, Felder V. ↑,
- 83', Ricardo Alves ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 90', Fontana J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
30.1% | Draw
24.5% | Étoile Carouge
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.86) |
3.76 ↑
(3.51) |
2.03 ↓
(2.27) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Étoile will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Étoile could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Injury)
Simbakoli U.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Étoile Carouge?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Étoile Carouge has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
07.02.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
18.10.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
26.07.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
3:1
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
