Neuchâtel Xamax vs Étoile Carouge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Challenge League Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge
Result
2:1
22/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 4
  • Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.820.12
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (329/404)83% (425/509)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.820.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.17
Total shots
207
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
124
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
161
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
615
Passes
81% (329/404)83% (425/509)
Long passes
55% (39/71)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
66% (72/109)67% (55/82)
Crosses
35% (7/20)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.12
Throw-ins
1527
Fouls
157
Tackles
83% (19/23)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4352
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.171.33
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Saiz F. , Ben Seghir S. (A),
  • 30', Ben Seghir S. 🟨,
  • 44', Fontana J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Caslei B. , Maouche Y. ,
  • 57', Boulkous N. , Rufli V. ,
  • 57', Holcbecher M. , El Jaouhari M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Maouche Y. , Zrankeon G. (A),
  • 66', Sestito L. , Sene O. ,
  • 69', Streit N. , Deme M. ,
  • 71', Demhasaj S. , Kone K. ,
  • 71', Ben Seghir S. , Hautier J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Kone K. , Saiz F. (A),
  • 78', Bossiwa S. , Ricardo Alves ,
  • 82', Saiz F. , Sidibe I. ,

Chances of winning


Neuchâtel Xamax
45.3%
Draw
26.7%
Étoile Carouge
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.9% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.21)
    3.45
    (3.45)
    3.3
    (2.97)
    8.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Xamax: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
    • In recent matches, Xamax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Étoile is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Étoile has had a series of away games.
    • Xamax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Xamax: Mulaj L. (Knee Injury) Reinhard S. (Inactive) Zahaj E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F. (Inactive) Hysenaj F. (Injury) Rufli V. (Inactive) Traore B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Xamax: Deme M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge 1:2
    07.02.2025 Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:1
    18.10.2024 Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge 0:3
    26.07.2024 Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax 3:1
    Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
    Latest results of Étoile Carouge
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarau660015:51018
    2Vaduz642015:41114
    3Yverdon641114:5913
    4Xamax622210:918
    5Stade Nyonnais622210:11-18
    6Lausanne Ouchy62229:10-18
    7Rapperswil-Jona62045:8-36
    8Wil61145:13-84
    9Etoile-Carouge60243:8-52
    10Bellinzona60244:17-132

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