Result
1:0
23/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 36
- Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (182/234) | 90% (561/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (182/234) | 90% (561/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 70% (40/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (48/73) | 81% (130/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Rastoder E. ⚽, Ibayi C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Henchoz N. 🟨,
- 65', Castroman M. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 65', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 69', Petit V. 🟨,
- 70', Zoukit N. ↓, Oberli B. ↑,
- 70', Ricardo Alves ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 70', Correia O. ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 75', Rastoder E. ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
- 75', Reichmuth N. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
- 75', Traore B. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 83', Janjicic V. ↓, Burki M. ↑,
- 88', Caslei B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Thun
56% | Draw
22.4% | Étoile Carouge
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thun's performance.Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Thun - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.8) |
4.12 ↑
(3.6) |
4.29 ↑
(3.75) |
8.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Thun - Étoile Carouge?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Étoile (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Thun (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Thun will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Étoile (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
- Thun is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Étoile is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Thun is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Thun: Fehr F.
(Inactive)
Matoshi V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Tomas M.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Injury)
Ninte M.
(Inactive)
Simbakoli U.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Thun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Étoile Carouge?
Thun has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Thun?
Étoile Carouge has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
14.03.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Thun
0:0
09.11.2024
Thun
-
Étoile Carouge
2:1
09.08.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Thun
0:2
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
