Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 2
- Referee: Anex D. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/470) | 85% (402/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/470) | 85% (402/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (54/73) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/148) | 64% (46/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Essiena Avang L. ⚽, Escorza T. (A),
- 39', Rufli V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Campos A. ↓, Monsberger M. ↑,
- 46', Beeli M. ↓, Eberhard M. ↑,
- 56', Walker M. 🟨,
- 59', Hammerich M. 🟨,
- 61', Ricardo Alves ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 61', Hammerich M. ↓, Seiler S. ↑,
- 61', Navarro J. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
- 62', Escorza T. ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 68', Boulkous N. ↓, Philippin R. ↑,
- 76', Hoxha F. ↓, Schwizer D. ↑,
- 77', Mack L. 🟨,
- 78', Hasler N. 🟨,
- 82', Rufli V. ↓, Zrankeon G. ↑,
- 82', Sene O. ↓, Neves D. ↑,
- 88', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Schwizer D. ⚽,
- 90+1', Strohbach I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
43.5% | Draw
25.6% | Vaduz
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Étoile Carouge - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.96) |
3.61 ↓
(4.05) |
3 ↓
(3.21) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Étoile has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vaduz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Étoile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Étoile has had a series of away games.
- Étoile could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Hysenaj F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vaduz: Gasser C.
(Inactive)
Sawadogo M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Boulkous N.
(Injury)
Sestito L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vaduz: Mertens J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Vaduz will win today's game, with odds of 3.22.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Vaduz?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Étoile Carouge?
Vaduz has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Vaduz were as follows:
27.04.2025
Vaduz
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
02.03.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Vaduz
3:2
14.12.2024
Vaduz
-
Étoile Carouge
3:2
24.09.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Vaduz
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Aarau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Xamax | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Wil | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Lausanne Ouchy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
