Result
0:0
05/12/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 16
- Referee: Anex D. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (411/469) | 86% (407/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (411/469) | 86% (407/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (43/63) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (96/132) | 70% (58/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Staubli T. ↓, Tisch-Rottensteiner S. ↑,
- 45', Diet Y. B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Rapp S. 🟨,
- 70', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
- 75', Diet Y. B. 🟨,
- 79', Bytyqi E. ↓, Abazi L. ↑,
- 79', Hajij M. ↓, Breedijk L. ↑,
- 79', Rapp S. ↓, Saho U. ↑,
- 81', El Jaouhari M. ↓, Patricio A. ↑,
- 81', Itaitinga ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 81', Sene O. ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 90+4', Strohbach I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
34.6% | Draw
27.1% | Wil 1900
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.41) |
3.4 ↓
(3.53) |
2.4 ↓
(2.69) |
8.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Wil will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Étoile: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Étoile (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).
- Étoile is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Bossiwa S.
(Inactive)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Neves D.
(Inactive)
Rufli V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wil: Aliu X.
(Inactive)
Borges F.
(Inactive)
Bujard Y.
(Inactive)
Diarra M.
(Inactive)
Nwannah U.
(Inactive)
Schreiber L.
(Inactive)
Selmonaj J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Boulkous N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wil: Correia S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Wil 1900?
Étoile Carouge has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wil 1900 won against Étoile Carouge?
Wil 1900 has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900 were as follows:
08.08.2025
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
13.04.2025
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
24.01.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Wil 1900
1:1
30.11.2024
Wil 1900
-
Étoile Carouge
2:1
30.08.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Wil 1900
3:1
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
