Result
3:3
24/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/388) | 83% (356/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/388) | 83% (356/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (91/131) | 73% (95/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', Busquets O. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 18', Gavory N. 🟨,
- 27', Bares G. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Soumare M. ⚽, Lloci M. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Van Genechten Y. ⚽, Mohwald K. (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Van Genechten Y. ⚽, Nuhu I. (A),
- 43', 2 - 2, Janssen T. ⚽, Brebels S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Lloci M. 🟨,
- 64', Mohwald K. ↓, Marechal T. ↑,
- 64', Gavory N. ↓, Kennedy S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 3, Van Genechten Y. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
- 70', Brebels S. 🟨,
- 72', Boonen I. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 3, Lloci M. ⚽,
- 80', Soumare M. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
- 80', Wasiu S. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
- 81', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Caliskan B. ↑,
- 82', Atteri Z. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
- 85', Brrou A. ↓, Vervaque J. ↑,
- 89', Plastun I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokeren
35.2% | Draw
27.3% | Eupen
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokeren's form might have worsened.Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokeren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eupen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokeren - Eupen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.28) |
3.38 ↓
(3.58) |
2.5 ↓
(2.78) |
8.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokeren - Eupen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Eupen will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eupen: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- Lokeren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Eupen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Eupen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Lokeren won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against Eupen?
Lokeren has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Lokeren?
Eupen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokeren - Eupen were as follows:
28.01.2025
Lokeren
-
Eupen
0:0
27.10.2024
Eupen
-
Lokeren
0:1
Latest results of Lokeren
