Result
2:4
16/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 40
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.9% (2/29) | 13.33% (4/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.67% (26/30) | 93.1% (27/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 32.76 | 67.24 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 08:42, 1 - 0, Tatar T. (G), Kubalik D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:50, 1 - 1, Nattinen J. (G),
- 08:41, Antenen R. N. (2 min),
- 13:54, Fischer J. (2 min),
- 16:08, 1 - 2, Honka A. (G), Fischer J. (A),
- 17:37, 2 - 2, Hofmann G. (G), Senteler S. (A),
- 19:59, 2 - 3, Nattinen J. (G), Honka A. (A), Devos P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:43, Schlumpf D. (2 min),
- 16:19, Senteler S. (2 min),
- 16:53, 2 - 4, Honka A. (G), Nattinen J. (A),
Chances of winning
EV Zug
64.7% | Draw
18.2% | Ajoie
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EV Zug that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
EV Zug - Ajoie Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.34) |
5.02 ↓
(5.52) |
5.48 ↓
(6.92) |
7.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for EV Zug - Ajoie?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. EV Zug will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ajoie will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajoie will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 3.
- EV Zug is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ajoie's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- EV Zug may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ajoie has had a series of home games.
- In this match, EV Zug is the clear favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 82:30. (average 4.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:16. (average 5.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has EV Zug won against Ajoie?
EV Zug has won 12 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajoie won against EV Zug?
Ajoie has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EV Zug - Ajoie were as follows:
29.11.2025
Ajoie
-
EV Zug
3:2
23.10.2025
EV Zug
-
Ajoie
8:3
04.10.2025
Ajoie
-
EV Zug
1:3
01.02.2025
Ajoie
-
EV Zug
2:1
21.12.2024
EV Zug
-
Ajoie
4:0
Swiss National League Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Davos ✔ | 46 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 169:108 | 102 |
| 2 | Fribourg ✔ | 47 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 155:113 | 88 |
| 3 | Lugano | 46 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 139:105 | 81 |
| 4 | Zurich | 46 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 132:105 | 80 |
| 5 | Servette | 46 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 136:133 | 77 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 46 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 138:117 | 76 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 46 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 125:139 | 67 |
| 8 | Zug | 46 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 114:130 | 67 |
| 9 | Bern | 46 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 106:110 | 64 |
| 10 | Langnau Tigers | 46 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 129:125 | 64 |
| 11 | Biel | 46 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 124:146 | 59 |
| 12 | EHC Kloten | 46 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 104:127 | 53 |
| 13 | Ambri-Piotta | 46 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 114:158 | 52 |
| 14 | Ajoie | 47 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 97:166 | 39 |
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
National League (Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Davos is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Fribourg is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
