Result
3:7
05/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Round 3
- Referee: Ruprecht L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.71% (3/28) | 26.92% (7/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 73.08% (19/26) | 89.29% (25/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.85 | 46.15 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 03:25, 1 - 0, Martschini L. (G), Herzog F. (A), Tatar T. (A2)
- 05:04, 2 - 0, Wingerli A. (G), Kunzle M. (A), Diaz R. (A2)
- 08:36, 2 - 1, Keating A. (G), Powell M. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
- 13:49, 2 - 2, Ruopp S. (G), Barber R. (A),
- 15:04, Preto P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 4)
- 01:58, Krauss P. (2 min),
- 03:16, 2 - 3, Pietta D. (G),
- 04:36, 2 - 4, Barber R. (G), Krauss P. (A), Jandric C. (A2)
- 06:08, 2 - 5, Jandric C. (G), Barber R. (A), Spornberger P. (A2)
- 06:08, Genoni L. ↓, Wolf T. ↑,
- 07:50, Keating A. (2 min),
- 10:59, 2 - 6, Breton A. (G), Sheen R. (A),
- 13:23, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:10, Girduckis A. (2 min),
- 00:29, 3 - 6, Tatar T. (G), Diaz R. (A),
- 01:08, Tatar T. (2 min),
- 02:31, 3 - 7, Keating A. (G), Sheen R. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
- 18:17, Tatar T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
EV Zug
66.5% | Draw
16.8% | ERC Ingolstadt
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ERC Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.44) |
5.59 ↑
(5.36) |
5.65 ↓
(5.79) |
6.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- EV Zug is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ingolstadt is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Ingolstadt has had a series of home games.
- In this match, EV Zug is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that EV Zug will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, EV Zug won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has EV Zug won against ERC Ingolstadt?
EV Zug has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ERC Ingolstadt won against EV Zug?
ERC Ingolstadt has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt were as follows:
Latest results of ERC Ingolstadt
Champions League Ice Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves ✔ | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:7 | 18 | 3.00 |
| 2 | KalPa ✔ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:8 | 17 | 2.83 |
| 3 | Frolunda ✔ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 | 15 | 2.50 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 14 | 2.33 |
| 5 | Lukko ✔ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21:14 | 13 | 2.17 |
| 6 | ERC Ingolstadt ✔ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:15 | 12 | 2.00 |
| 7 | Bern ✔ | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:14 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 8 | Kometa Brno | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:22 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 9 | Lulea ✔ | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 10 | 1.67 |
| 10 | Brynas ✔ | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 11 | Salzburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 12 | Storhamar ✔ | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 13 | Zug | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:18 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:24 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 15 | Zurich | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 16 | Bremerhaven | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 17 | Mountfield HK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:19 | 7 | 1.17 |
| 18 | Klagenfurt | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:20 | 6 | 1.00 |
| 19 | Bolzano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14:21 | 6 | 1.00 |
| 20 | Lausanne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:24 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 21 | Odense Bulldogs | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:27 | 5 | 0.83 |
| 22 | Eisbaren Berlin | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 23 | Belfast | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14:31 | 4 | 0.67 |
| 24 | Tychy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:19 | 3 | 0.50 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
KalPa is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Frolunda is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lukko is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
ERC Ingolstadt is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lulea is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Brynas is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Storhamar is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
