Eva Lys vs Yulia Starodubtseva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Tokyo Eva Lys - Yulia Starodubtseva
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
71%72%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (25/41)53% (25/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
76% (13/17)44% (8/18)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
49% (23/47)39% (16/41)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (10/18)24% (4/17)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
66% (38/58)50% (32/64)
Return Points Won
50% (32/64)34% (20/58)
Total Points Won
57% (70/122)43% (52/122)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Eva Lys
65.2%
Yulia Starodubtseva
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eva Lys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eva Lys's form might have worsened.
  • Yulia Starodubtseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yulia Starodubtseva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Lys than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eva Lys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yulia Starodubtseva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Eva Lys - Yulia Starodubtseva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.31)

    2.79
    (3.29)
    3.1%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lys is ranked WTA: 44. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 131.
    • Lys is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Starodubtseva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Eva Lys
    02.10.2025 Eva Lys - Cori Gauff 0:2
    27.09.2025 Elena Rybakina - Eva Lys 1:2
    26.09.2025 Eva Lys - Iva Jovic 2:1
    24.09.2025 Ruien Zhang - Eva Lys 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Muchova K. (8)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Kalinskaya A.Noskova L. (6)
    4Mboko V. (9)TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2