Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 65% (31/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 51% (23/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 79% (11/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 39% (19/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 46% (12/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (43/74) | 59% (54/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (38/92) | 42% (31/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (81/166) | 51% (85/166) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 56% (14/25) |
Chances of winning
Evgeny Karlovskiy
49.9% | Naoki Nakagawa
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Evgeny Karlovskiy - Naoki Nakagawa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.86) |
|
1.85 ↓
(1.86) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Evgeny Karlovskiy - Naoki Nakagawa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karlovskiy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Karlovskiy is ranked ATP: 419. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 353.
- Karlovskiy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Nakagawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Evgeny Karlovskiy won against Naoki Nakagawa?
Evgeny Karlovskiy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naoki Nakagawa won against Evgeny Karlovskiy?
Naoki Nakagawa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Evgeny Karlovskiy - Naoki Nakagawa were as follows:
Latest results of Evgeny Karlovskiy
Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Noguchi R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. | Shimizu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kwon S. (WC) | Escoffier A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Rosenkranz M. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Schoolkate T. (4) | Campana Lee G. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kubler J. (PR) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ruusuvuori E. | Chung H. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sharipov M. (Q) | Tu L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Trotter J. K. (7) | Hsu Y. H. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Monday J. (Q) | Shin S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Watanuki Y. | Bolt A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Lestienne C. | Holt B. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Atmane T. (8) | McCabe J. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Durasovic V. (Q) | Jasika O. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Kachmazov A. | Simakin I. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Svajda Z. | Eubanks C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Shimizu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kwon S. | Uchiyama Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Campana Lee G. | Kubler J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Chung H. | Tu L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Hsu Y. H. | Shin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bolt A. | Holt B. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atmane T. (8) | Jasika O. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Simakin I. | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Uchiyama Y. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kubler J. | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Hsu Y. H. | Holt B. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Atmane T. (8) | Simakin I. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Kubler J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Holt B. (3) | Atmane T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Walton A. (1) | Atmane T. (8) | 0 : 2 |
