ALBA Berlin vs EWE Baskets Oldenburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
98:78
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • German Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport
ukraineUkraineSport 2

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6270
Field goals made
3027
Field goals %
48.39%38.57%
2-point field goals attempts
2941
2-point field goals made
1618
2-point field goals %
55.17%43.9%
3-point field goals attempts
3329
3-point field goals made
149
3-point field goals %
42.42%31.03%
Free throws attempts
2921
Free throws made
2415
Free throws %
82.8%71.4%
Offensive rebounds
1710
Defensive rebounds
3514
Total rebounds
5224
Assists
2514
Blocks
32
Turnovers
2310
Steals
510
Personal fouls
2526

Chances of winning


ALBA Berlin
65.3%
EWE Baskets Oldenburg
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ALBA Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • EWE Baskets Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ALBA Berlin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EWE Baskets Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EWE Baskets Oldenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.41)

    2.69
    (2.71)
    6.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ALBA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5, OT - Oldenburg (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Oldenburg (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Oldenburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 166.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 166.75, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 167, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 167.25, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 167.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 168, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. ALBA (votes: 1 - 25%). Oldenburg (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ALBA won 3.
    • ALBA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Oldenburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oldenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, ALBA has had a series of home games.
    • ALBA might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ALBA won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1774:1595. (average 88.7:79.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ALBA won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 869:758. (average 86.9:75.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg were as follows:
    04.01.2026 EWE Baskets Oldenburg - ALBA Berlin 76:73
    27.01.2025 EWE Baskets Oldenburg - ALBA Berlin 97:92
    28.09.2024 ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg 105:70
    03.03.2024 ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg 85:67
    17.12.2023 EWE Baskets Oldenburg - ALBA Berlin 85:90
    Latest results of ALBA Berlin
    17.02.2026 ALBA Berlin - BCJ Hamburg 87:93
    15.02.2026 Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin 92:98
    10.02.2026 ALBA Berlin - Tofaş 69:60
    08.02.2026 ALBA Berlin - Rasta Vechta 84:82
    04.02.2026 ALBA Berlin - Karditsas 84:80
    Latest results of EWE Baskets Oldenburg
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1TubingenTrier67 : 87
    2GottingenBonn84 : 91
    3BayernBye
    4ByeBasketball Braunschweig
    5Syntainics MBCBye
    6HamburgBamberg89 : 94
    7HeidelbergBye
    8FrankfurtLudwigsburg96 : 101
    9Alba BerlinBye
    10ByeUlm
    11Phoenix HagenRostock82 : 101
    12Crailsheim MerlinsJena78 : 85
    13GiessenVechta70 : 80
    14ByeChemnitz
    15BremerhavenOldenburg75 : 97
    16ByeWurzburg

    1/8-finals
    1TrierBonn107 : 90
    2BayernBasketball Braunschweig99 : 64
    3Syntainics MBCBamberg78 : 105
    4HeidelbergLudwigsburg82 : 73
    5Alba BerlinUlm90 : 68
    6RostockJena79 : 80
    7VechtaChemnitz89 : 86
    8OldenburgWurzburg61 : 60

    Quarter-finals
    1TrierBayern80 : 96
    2BambergHeidelberg72 : 66
    3Alba BerlinJena91 : 78
    4VechtaOldenburg69 : 72

    Semi-finals
    1BayernBamberg97 : 103
    2Alba BerlinOldenburg98 : 78

    Final
    1BambergAlba Berlin74 : 72