Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO 20 Heemskerk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 33

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
105
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, van Mil M. , Semedo E. (A),
  • 34', Richard J. , Carbaat T. ,
  • 45', Langedijk P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Langedijk P. , van der Sande O. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, van der Sande O. ,
  • 77', Prijor D. , Knott S. ,
  • 79', Plank D. , Nagtegaal N. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
67%
Draw
19.1%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 21.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 20.3% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.52)
    4.79
    (4.3)
    6.55
    (5.11)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie).
    • Excelsior Maassluis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ADO 20 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Excelsior Maassluis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk were as follows:
    04.02.2025 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 0:4
    23.03.2024 ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis 3:0
    14.10.2023 Excelsior Maassluis - ADO 20 Heemskerk 0:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of ADO 20 Heemskerk
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Quick Boys31179563:313259
    2Hoek31185854:312359
    3De Treffers31177758:342458
    4Hardenberg311641152:371552
    5Spakenburg31157968:561252
    6Rijnsburgse Boys31148965:511450
    7Katwijk311371151:52-146
    8Jong Sparta Rotterdam311291067:61645
    9Kozakken Boys311271240:49-943
    10Jong Almere City311251461:56541
    11AFC311181240:48-841
    12GVVV311251446:58-1241
    13Barendrecht311241555:75-2040
    14RKAV Volendam311231643:50-739
    15HFC311131730:42-1236
    16Excelsior Maassluis31771735:53-1828
    17IJsselmeervogels31832040:59-1927
    18ACV Assen31591742:67-2524

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation