ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Excelsior Virton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian National Division 1 ACFF ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Excelsior Virton
Result
5:3
12/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Mbaye I. ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Mbaye I. ,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Arib G. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, ,
  • 54', 2 - 3, ,
  • 64', 🟥,
  • 70', 3 - 3, ,
  • 80', 4 - 3, ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
54.7%
Draw
24.1%
Excelsior Virton
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.9% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne's performance.
  • Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior Virton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior Virton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Excelsior Virton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.02)
    3.82
    (3.41)
    4.33
    (3.36)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • ROCCM is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Virton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match ROCCM is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches ROCCM won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Excelsior Virton were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 1:0
    14.09.2024 Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 0:2
    09.12.2023 Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 1:3
    Latest results of Excelsior Virton
    Belgian National Division 1 ACFF Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Charleroi B1054116:10630
    8Royal Union SG 21052318:81027
    9Namur102537:11-423
    10St. Liege U23103529:8119
    11Binche101549:16-719
    12Tournai100735:11-617

          Relegation