Excelsior Virton vs Union Rochefortoise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian National Division 1 ACFF Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Guillaume V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 88', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Virton
64.7%
Draw
22.2%
Union Rochefortoise
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 24.2% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 22.7% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.
  • Union Rochefortoise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Rochefortoise might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Rochefortoise than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Rochefortoise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.64)
    4.19
    (3.75)
    7.11
    (4.42)
    7.7%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Virton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Union Rochefortoise is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Virton is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Virton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton 0:0
    26.01.2025 Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton 0:2
    02.11.2024 Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise 1:3
    Latest results of Excelsior Virton
    Latest results of Union Rochefortoise
    Belgian National Division 1 ACFF Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Charleroi B1054116:10630
    8Royal Union SG 21052318:81027
    9Namur102537:11-423
    10St. Liege U23103529:8119
    11Binche101549:16-719
    12Tournai100735:11-617

          Relegation