Result
14/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Excelsior
27.7% | Draw
24.4% | AZ Alkmaar
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↓
(4.23) |
3.87 ↓
(3.88) |
1.97 ↑
(1.74) |
6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
- AZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:49. (average 1.4:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.9:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against AZ Alkmaar?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Excelsior?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
21.01.2026
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
1:1
13.07.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
8:0
10.03.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
4:0
04.11.2023
Excelsior
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:1
10.02.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
5:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 66:26 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 56:35 | 21 | 41 |
| 4 | Ajax | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29:36 | -7 | 36 |
| 6 | Twente | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36:24 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 37:36 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Groningen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 9 | Sittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33:38 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:37 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31:45 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 24 |
| 14 | G.A. Eagles | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 32:35 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 21 |
| 16 | Telstar | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 17 |
| 17 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 31:57 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | NAC Breda | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23:36 | -13 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
