Result
14/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
71.1% | Draw
16.9% | Excelsior
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.33) |
5.57 ↑
(5) |
7.83 ↓
(8) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AZ is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AZ won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:25. (average 2.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 2.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Excelsior?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against AZ Alkmaar?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior were as follows:
13.07.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
8:0
10.03.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
4:0
04.11.2023
Excelsior
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:1
10.02.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Excelsior
5:0
11.01.2023
Excelsior
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:4
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 46:17 | 29 | 40 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 41:18 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 39:25 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Ajax | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Groningen | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 | Twente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:28 | -11 | 20 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Sittard | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:36 | -17 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Telstar | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
