Result
4:1
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/409) | 83% (343/415) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/409) | 83% (343/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (42/65) | 68% (65/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Min D. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 60', van Duinen M. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 61', Martens N. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
- 61', Engwanda A. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Blake A. (A),
- 68', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 68', Zechiel G. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 71', Yegoian I. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 71', Naujoks N. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
- 76', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez M. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Yoon D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
65.7% | Draw
19.7% | Excelsior
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Utrecht - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.53) |
4.78 ↑
(4.39) |
6.45 ↑
(5.2) |
5.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 40.8% – 79.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
- Utrecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Excelsior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Utrecht is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Knee Injury)
Jenner I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Bergraaf J.
(Inactive)
Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Schouten L.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
van Gassel S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Mukeh J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Utrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Excelsior?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Utrecht?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Excelsior were as follows:
27.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
1:1
12.11.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
2:2
25.01.2023
Utrecht
-
Excelsior
1:0
02.10.2022
Excelsior
-
Utrecht
0:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
