Excelsior vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
01/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.842.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
279
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
72
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
131
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Free Kicks
157
Offsides
33
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2418
Touches in the Opposition Box
3914
Passes
80% (437/545)69% (237/344)
Passes in the final third
66% (141/214)59% (46/78)
Crosses
33% (9/27)25% (1/4)
Tackles
79% (11/14)100% (16/16)
Clearances Total
426
Interceptions
1325

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Huisman B. , Koller J. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, de Regt G. , Cornelisse E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cornelisse E. , Kreekels M. ,
  • 46', Warmerdam D. , Pierie K. ,
  • 46', Naujoks N. , Rosario R. ,
  • 58', Macheras T. 🟨,
  • 61', Zarrouk A. , Tsingaras A. ,
  • 66', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 66', Fini S. , Donkor J. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ,
  • 74', Koller J. , van Duivenbooden S. ,
  • 74', Zagre A. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 80', Hatenboer C. , Eijgenraam J. ,
  • 85', Huisman B. , Visser A. ,
  • 85', Macheras T. , Hoogewerf D. ,
  • 90', de Regt G. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Duijvestijn L. , Donkor J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
75.6%
Draw
15.1%
Vitesse
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 17.5% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 16.9% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Excelsior - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.34)
    6.17
    (5.35)
    10.06
    (7.44)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Vitesse were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Vitesse - Excelsior 1:1
    25.02.2024 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:2
    07.10.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    22.04.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    10.01.2025 Excelsior - Dordrecht 1:0
    21.12.2024 VVV-Venlo - Excelsior 1:1
    Latest results of Vitesse
    24.01.2025 Vitesse - Dordrecht 0:3
    17.01.2025 Volendam - Vitesse 4:0
    12.01.2025 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    04.01.2025 Vitesse - GVVV 3:2
    20.12.2024 Jong PSV - Vitesse 6:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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