Result
1:3
01/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (437/545) | 69% (237/344) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (141/214) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 25% (1/4) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (16/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 4 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Huisman B. ⚽, Koller J. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, de Regt G. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cornelisse E. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
- 46', Warmerdam D. ↓, Pierie K. ↑,
- 46', Naujoks N. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
- 58', Macheras T. 🟨,
- 61', Zarrouk A. ↓, Tsingaras A. ↑,
- 66', Omorowa R. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 66', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ⚽,
- 74', Koller J. ↓, van Duivenbooden S. ↑,
- 74', Zagre A. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 80', Hatenboer C. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
- 85', Huisman B. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
- 85', Macheras T. ↓, Hoogewerf D. ↑,
- 90', de Regt G. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Donkor J. (A),
Chances of winning
Excelsior 75.6% | Draw 15.1% | Vitesse 9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Excelsior - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.23 ↓ (1.34) |
6.17 ↑ (5.35) |
10.06 ↑ (7.44) |
7.2% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 65% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
- Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Vitesse?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Excelsior?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Vitesse were as follows:
25.08.2024
Vitesse
-
Excelsior
1:1
25.02.2024
Excelsior
-
Vitesse
1:2
07.10.2023
Vitesse
-
Excelsior
0:0
22.04.2023
Vitesse
-
Excelsior
0:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie