Excelsior vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
01/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.842.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
279
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
72
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
131
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Free Kicks
157
Offsides
33
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2418
Touches in the Opposition Box
3914
Passes
80% (437/545)69% (237/344)
Passes in the final third
66% (141/214)59% (46/78)
Crosses
33% (9/27)25% (1/4)
Tackles
79% (11/14)100% (16/16)
Clearances Total
426
Interceptions
1325

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Huisman B. , Koller J. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, de Regt G. , Cornelisse E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cornelisse E. , Kreekels M. ,
  • 46', Warmerdam D. , Pierie K. ,
  • 46', Naujoks N. , Rosario R. ,
  • 58', Macheras T. 🟨,
  • 61', Zarrouk A. , Tsingaras A. ,
  • 66', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 66', Fini S. , Donkor J. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ,
  • 74', Koller J. , van Duivenbooden S. ,
  • 74', Zagre A. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 80', Hatenboer C. , Eijgenraam J. ,
  • 85', Huisman B. , Visser A. ,
  • 85', Macheras T. , Hoogewerf D. ,
  • 90', de Regt G. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Duijvestijn L. , Donkor J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
75.6%
Draw
15.1%
Vitesse
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 17.5% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 16.9% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Excelsior - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.34)
    6.17
    (5.35)
    10.06
    (7.44)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Vitesse were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Vitesse - Excelsior 1:1
    25.02.2024 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:2
    07.10.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    22.04.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    10.01.2025 Excelsior - Dordrecht 1:0
    21.12.2024 VVV-Venlo - Excelsior 1:1
    Latest results of Vitesse
    24.01.2025 Vitesse - Dordrecht 0:3
    17.01.2025 Volendam - Vitesse 4:0
    12.01.2025 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    04.01.2025 Vitesse - GVVV 3:2
    20.12.2024 Jong PSV - Vitesse 6:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229571:432875
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch351481360:60050
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie