Excelsior vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
01/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.842.16
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
279
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
72
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
131
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Free Kicks
157
Offsides
33
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2418
Touches in the Opposition Box
3914
Passes
80% (437/545)69% (237/344)
Passes in the final third
66% (141/214)59% (46/78)
Crosses
33% (9/27)25% (1/4)
Tackles
79% (11/14)100% (16/16)
Clearances Total
426
Interceptions
1325

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Huisman B. , Koller J. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, de Regt G. , Cornelisse E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cornelisse E. , Kreekels M. ,
  • 46', Warmerdam D. , Pierie K. ,
  • 46', Naujoks N. , Rosario R. ,
  • 58', Macheras T. 🟨,
  • 61', Zarrouk A. , Tsingaras A. ,
  • 66', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 66', Fini S. , Donkor J. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ,
  • 74', Koller J. , van Duivenbooden S. ,
  • 74', Zagre A. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 80', Hatenboer C. , Eijgenraam J. ,
  • 85', Huisman B. , Visser A. ,
  • 85', Macheras T. , Hoogewerf D. ,
  • 90', de Regt G. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Duijvestijn L. , Donkor J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
75.6%
Draw
15.1%
Vitesse
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 17.5% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 16.9% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Excelsior - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.34)
    6.17
    (5.35)
    10.06
    (7.44)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Vitesse were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Vitesse - Excelsior 1:1
    25.02.2024 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:2
    07.10.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    22.04.2023 Vitesse - Excelsior 0:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    10.01.2025 Excelsior - Dordrecht 1:0
    21.12.2024 VVV-Venlo - Excelsior 1:1
    Latest results of Vitesse
    24.01.2025 Vitesse - Dordrecht 0:3
    17.01.2025 Volendam - Vitesse 4:0
    12.01.2025 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    04.01.2025 Vitesse - GVVV 3:2
    20.12.2024 Jong PSV - Vitesse 6:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )