Result
1:4
20/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 35
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 3.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (294/401) | 79% (362/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 3.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 3.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (294/401) | 79% (362/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (24/79) | 51% (38/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (53/99) | 70% (127/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.39 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Bergraaf J. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Bronkhorst I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 3, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽,
- 61', Muhren R. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 61', Anita V. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
- 71', Kuwas B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
- 71', Bergraaf J. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 71', Donkor J. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
- 71', Hatenboer C. ↓, Blomme X. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 4, Duijvestijn L. (Pen),
- 77', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
- 81', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
- 81', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 4, Veerman H. (Pen),
- 83', Plat A. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
- 90+1', de Haan M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Volendam
34.9% | Draw
26% | Excelsior
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volendam's form might have worsened.Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volendam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excelsior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Volendam - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.27) |
3.61 ↓
(3.66) |
2.39 ↓
(2.9) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Volendam - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Volendam (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- Volendam is Qualified for Eredivisie
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 2.
- Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.
- Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Volendam won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 2.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Volendam won against Excelsior?
Volendam has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Volendam?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volendam - Excelsior were as follows:
13.12.2024
Excelsior
-
Volendam
0:0
12.04.2024
Excelsior
-
Volendam
4:0
29.10.2023
Volendam
-
Excelsior
3:1
28.05.2023
Volendam
-
Excelsior
3:2
20.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Volendam
2:0
Latest results of Volendam
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
