Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 28', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ,
  • 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
  • 42', Pata L. 🟨,
  • 45', Pata L. , Velazco N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
  • 55', Castano S. 🟨,
  • 56', Mena D. , Centurion F. ,
  • 69', Guzman L. , Alfonso S. ,
  • 74', Ortiz A. , Escudero L. ,
  • 81', Scaramuzzi E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 83', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Schiavulli T. , Gallardo G. ,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
43.4%
Draw
31.4%
Argentino de Quilmes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 29.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.
  • Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.87)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    3.62
    (4.18)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Argentino de Quilmes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentino de Quilmes will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.99%96.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
    • Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 2:1
    02.12.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:0
    23.11.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 0:0
    26.10.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:1
    09.06.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 2:3
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Italiano32104:227
    2Excursionistas22003:126
    3Villa Dalmine32013:126
    4Argentino de Merlo32012:116
    5Arsenal Sarandi31204:225
    6Villa San Carlos31116:514
    7Laferrere21104:314
    8Deportivo Armenio21101:014
    9Talleres (R.E)21101:014
    10Dep. Merlo31112:204
    11Liniers31112:204
    12Flandria21015:413
    13Real Pilar21013:303
    14UAI Urquiza30300:003
    15Comunicaciones21011:2-13
    16San Martin Burzaco30214:5-12
    17Defensores Unidos30211:2-12
    18Brown Adrogue30212:4-22
    19Argentino de Quilmes30121:3-21
    20Dock Sud30121:3-21
    21Deportivo Camioneros20110:2-21
    22Ituzaingo30122:5-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )