Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 28', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ,
  • 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
  • 42', Pata L. 🟨,
  • 45', Pata L. , Velazco N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
  • 55', Castano S. 🟨,
  • 56', Mena D. , Centurion F. ,
  • 69', Guzman L. , Alfonso S. ,
  • 74', Ortiz A. , Escudero L. ,
  • 81', Scaramuzzi E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 83', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Schiavulli T. , Gallardo G. ,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
43.4%
Draw
31.4%
Argentino de Quilmes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 29.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.
  • Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.87)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    3.62
    (4.18)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Argentino de Quilmes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentino de Quilmes will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.99%96.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
    • Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 2:1
    02.12.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:0
    23.11.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 0:0
    26.10.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:1
    09.06.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 2:3
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Excursionistas54107:2513
    2Sportivo Italiano53205:2311
    3Talleres (R.E)53115:2310
    4Argentino de Merlo53114:1310
    5Real Pilar53027:619
    6Arsenal Sarandi52216:428
    7Dep. Merlo52216:428
    8Villa Dalmine52214:228
    9Laferrere52126:7-17
    10Liniers52125:6-17
    11San Martin Burzaco51317:526
    12Brown Adrogue51313:4-16
    13Flandria52036:8-26
    14Villa San Carlos51227:705
    15UAI Urquiza50502:205
    16Argentino de Quilmes51223:4-15
    17Deportivo Camioneros51222:3-15
    18Comunicaciones51222:5-35
    19Deportivo Armenio51134:6-24
    20Defensores Unidos50323:5-23
    21Dock Sud50233:6-32
    22Ituzaingo50232:8-62

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )