Result
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 23', 🟨,
- 28', Arango M. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
- 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
- 42', Pata L. 🟨,
- 45', Pata L. ↓, Velazco N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
- 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
- 55', Castano S. 🟨,
- 56', Mena D. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
- 69', Guzman L. ↓, Alfonso S. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz A. ↓, Escudero L. ↑,
- 81', Scaramuzzi E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 83', Vera I. 🟨,
- 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 88', Schiavulli T. ↓, Gallardo G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excursionistas 43.4% | Draw 31.4% | Argentino de Quilmes 25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.87) |
2.91 ↓ (3.1) |
3.62 ↓ (4.18) |
9.5% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Argentino de Quilmes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Argentino de Quilmes will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
- Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against Argentino de Quilmes?
Excursionistas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentino de Quilmes won against Excursionistas?
Argentino de Quilmes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
09.02.2025
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
2:1
02.12.2024
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
1:0
23.11.2024
Excursionistas
-
Argentino de Quilmes
0:0
26.10.2024
Argentino de Quilmes
-
Excursionistas
1:1
09.06.2024
Excursionistas
-
Argentino de Quilmes
2:3
Latest results of Excursionistas
Latest results of Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Italiano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Argentino de Merlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Arsenal Sarandi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Villa San Carlos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Laferrere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Talleres (R.E) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dep. Merlo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Liniers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Flandria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Pilar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | UAI Urquiza | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Comunicaciones | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | San Martin Burzaco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Brown Adrogue | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Argentino de Quilmes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | Deportivo Camioneros | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )