Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 28', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ,
  • 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
  • 42', Pata L. 🟨,
  • 45', Pata L. , Velazco N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
  • 55', Castano S. 🟨,
  • 56', Mena D. , Centurion F. ,
  • 69', Guzman L. , Alfonso S. ,
  • 74', Ortiz A. , Escudero L. ,
  • 81', Scaramuzzi E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 83', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Schiavulli T. , Gallardo G. ,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
43.4%
Draw
31.4%
Argentino de Quilmes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 29.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.
  • Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.87)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    3.62
    (4.18)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: Argentino de Quilmes will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.99%96.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
    • Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 2:1
    02.12.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:0
    23.11.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 0:0
    26.10.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:1
    09.06.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 2:3
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villa San Carlos743011:6515
    2Sportivo Italiano741212:7513
    3Midland64118:4413
    4Real Pilar73407:3413
    5Flandria73316:3312
    6Deportivo Armenio62406:2410
    7Sacachispas72417:6110
    8Acassuso62319:819
    9Laferrere72328:809
    10Brown Adrogue62228:9-18
    11San Martin Burzaco61416:517
    12Argentino de Quilmes71427:9-27
    13UAI Urquiza71425:7-27
    14Fenix71426:9-37
    15Dep. Merlo71335:7-26
    16Liniers71335:7-26
    17Dock Sud71334:6-26
    18Comunicaciones61326:9-36
    19Villa Dalmine71334:7-36
    20Argentino de Merlo71245:9-45
    21Excursionistas61147:11-44

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