Excursionistas vs Argentino de Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Guzman L. ,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 28', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ,
  • 38', Filosa L. 🟨,
  • 42', Pata L. 🟨,
  • 45', Pata L. , Velazco N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 55', Zarate J. 🟨,
  • 55', Castano S. 🟨,
  • 56', Mena D. , Centurion F. ,
  • 69', Guzman L. , Alfonso S. ,
  • 74', Ortiz A. , Escudero L. ,
  • 81', Scaramuzzi E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 83', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 86', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 88', Schiavulli T. , Gallardo G. ,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
43.4%
Draw
31.4%
Argentino de Quilmes
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 29.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.
  • Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.87)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    3.62
    (4.18)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: Argentino de Quilmes will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.99%96.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentino de Quilmes will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
    • Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Argentino de Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Excursionistas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 2:1
    02.12.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:0
    23.11.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 0:0
    26.10.2024 Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas 1:1
    09.06.2024 Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes 2:3
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland961212:5719
    2Deportivo Armenio94509:3617
    3Brown Adrogue952213:10317
    4Acassuso944114:10416
    5Real Pilar104429:6316
    6Villa San Carlos1044213:11216
    7Laferrere943212:10215
    8Sportivo Italiano942312:9314
    9Flandria103527:5214
    10Sacachispas934210:8213
    11Argentino de Quilmes1034313:13013
    12Comunicaciones93339:10-112
    13San Martin Burzaco92529:8111
    14Excursionistas932410:12-211
    15Argentino de Merlo92349:11-29
    16Villa Dalmine102356:10-49
    17UAI Urquiza101545:10-58
    18Dep. Merlo101457:13-67
    19Fenix91446:12-67
    20Dock Sud101455:11-67
    21Liniers81347:10-36

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