Excursionistas vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland
Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Vico L. 🟨,
  • 24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Vico L. , Goyeneche J. ,
  • 63', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 73', Campana A. I. , Gomez G. ,
  • 76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 79', Goyeneche J. , Monzon S. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 83', Cajal N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
35.5%
Draw
32.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.42)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.11.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:1
    08.11.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    12.10.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 3:1
    24.05.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1483317:71027
    2Deportivo Armenio1476117:9827
    3Real Pilar1576214:7727
    4Sportivo Italiano1575316:10626
    5Flandria1558212:6623
    6Villa San Carlos1557318:14422
    7Laferrere1557317:14322
    8San Martin Burzaco1556417:13421
    9Argentino de Merlo1655620:20020
    10Brown Adrogue1555516:16020
    11Comunicaciones1455415:16-120
    12Sacachispas1547416:14219
    13Villa Dalmine1554612:15-319
    14Excursionistas1453619:19018
    15Argentino de Quilmes1646621:24-318
    16Acassuso1545617:21-417
    17Liniers1545616:21-517
    18Dock Sud162778:18-1013
    19Dep. Merlo1626812:20-812
    20Fenix1526711:19-812
    21UAI Urquiza142667:15-812

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