Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Vico L. 🟨,
- 24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Violini N. 🟨,
- 63', Vico L. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
- 63', Frattini M. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
- 73', Campana A. I. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
- 76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
- 79', Goyeneche J. ↓, Monzon S. ↑,
- 81', Vera I. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ⚽,
- 81', Vera I. 🟨,
- 83', Cajal N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excursionistas
35.5% | Draw
32.4% | Ferrocarril Midland
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.42) |
2.83 ↓
(2.9) |
2.86 ↓
(3.06) |
8.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
- Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Excursionistas won against Ferrocarril Midland?
Excursionistas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrocarril Midland won against Excursionistas?
Ferrocarril Midland has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
09.03.2025
Ferrocarril Midland
-
Excursionistas
0:0
17.11.2024
Ferrocarril Midland
-
Excursionistas
0:1
08.11.2024
Excursionistas
-
Ferrocarril Midland
1:1
12.10.2024
Ferrocarril Midland
-
Excursionistas
3:1
24.05.2024
Excursionistas
-
Ferrocarril Midland
1:1
Latest results of Excursionistas
Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Armenio | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | Midland | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 19:8 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Laferrere | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Flandria | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | San Martin Burzaco | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Villa San Carlos | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Sacachispas | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 23 |
| 12 | Brown Adrogue | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Acassuso | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Liniers | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Argentino de Quilmes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Fenix | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
