Excursionistas vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Vico L. 🟨,
  • 24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Vico L. , Goyeneche J. ,
  • 63', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 73', Campana A. I. , Gomez G. ,
  • 76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 79', Goyeneche J. , Monzon S. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 83', Cajal N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
35.5%
Draw
32.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.42)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Ferrocarril (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Excursionistas (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ferrocarril (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.11.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:1
    08.11.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    12.10.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 3:1
    24.05.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi962117:41320
    2Excursionistas962111:4720
    3Villa Dalmine953113:5818
    4Sportivo Italiano953112:7518
    5Real Pilar960315:11418
    6Argentino de Merlo95138:6216
    7Talleres (R.E)94327:4315
    8San Martin Burzaco935114:7714
    9Deportivo Camioneros93427:6113
    10Comunicaciones93336:7-112
    11Dep. Merlo933311:13-212
    12Liniers93248:11-311
    13Laferrere932410:15-511
    14Deportivo Armenio93157:11-410
    15UAI Urquiza91626:609
    16Flandria93068:14-69
    17Brown Adrogue92345:13-89
    18Defensores Unidos91538:9-18
    19Argentino de Quilmes91448:11-37
    20Dock Sud91447:10-37
    21Villa San Carlos91358:13-56
    22Ituzaingo90365:14-93

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