Excursionistas vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Vico L. 🟨,
  • 24', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Vico L. , Goyeneche J. ,
  • 63', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 73', Campana A. I. , Gomez G. ,
  • 76', Cataldi F. 🟨,
  • 79', Goyeneche J. , Monzon S. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Vera I. ,
  • 81', Vera I. 🟨,
  • 83', Cajal N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excursionistas
35.5%
Draw
32.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 31.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 32.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.42)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    2.86
    (3.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Ferrocarril (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Excursionistas (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ferrocarril (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
    • Excursionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferrocarril is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Excursionistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:0
    17.11.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 0:1
    08.11.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    12.10.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas 3:1
    24.05.2024 Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1384120:51528
    2Villa Dalmine1384118:61228
    3Sportivo Italiano1374215:10525
    4Excursionistas1373315:8724
    5Real Pilar1373318:13524
    6Talleres (R.E)1364310:6422
    7Deportivo Camioneros1356210:7321
    8Dep. Merlo1355316:15120
    9Argentino de Merlo1353510:11-118
    10San Martin Burzaco1337315:12316
    11Laferrere1344512:16-416
    12Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    13Liniers134369:13-415
    14Dock Sud1335513:13014
    15Deportivo Armenio1342710:17-714
    16Flandria1342710:18-814
    17Brown Adrogue133558:16-814
    18UAI Urquiza132748:9-113
    19Villa San Carlos1333717:19-212
    20Defensores Unidos1326511:13-212
    21Argentino de Quilmes1325612:14-211
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

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