Result
31:22
25/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby - Round 11
- Referee: Tempest I. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 75 | 75 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 434 | 284 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (5 - 8)
- 2', Lozowski A. (Penalty Goal),
- 8', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 10', Innard J. (Try),
- 11', Haydon-Wood W. (Missed Conversion),
- 26', Elliott T. (Try),
- 27', Lozowski A. (Missed Conversion),
- 35', Pifeleti K. ↓, Hadfield J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (26 - 14)
- 43', Innard J. ↓, Frost D. ↑,
- 44', Balmain F. ↓, Clarey A. ↑,
- 47', Brantingham P. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
- 50', Jenkins D. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
- 50', Haydon-Wood W. ↓, Skinner H. ↑,
- 51', Rigg W. (Try),
- 53', Skinner H. (Missed Conversion),
- 59', Vermeulen J. ↓, Tuima R. ↑,
- 60', Elliott T. (Try),
- 61', Lozowski A. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Johnson L. ↓, Burke F. ↑,
- 61', Hartley O. ↓, Spink S. ↑,
- 64', Wyatt T. (Try),
- 65', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Sio S. ↓, Blose K. N. ↑,
- 65', Iosefa-Scott J. ↓, Street M. ↑,
- 66', Roots E. (Try),
- 67', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Eke M. ↓, Tompkins N. ↑,
- 72', Wilson H. 🟥,
- 72', van Zyl I. ↓, Simpson G. ↑,
- 73', Frost D. (Try),
- 74', Skinner H. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Townsend S. ↓, Cairns T. ↑,
- 78', Hawkins J. ↓, Wimbush Z. ↑,
- 80', Capstick R. 🟨,
- 80+1', Mawi E. (Try),
- 80+2', Lozowski A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Exeter Chiefs
62.9% | Draw
4.1% | Saracens
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter Chiefs's performance.Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saracens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-21.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter Chiefs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saracens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Exeter Chiefs - Saracens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(2.32) |
23.17 ↑
(21.11) |
2.75 ↑
(1.65) |
7.9%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 53.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Exeter Chiefs - Saracens?
Users Predictions:
Exeter Chiefs will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:24.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
- Exeter is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Saracens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Saracens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Exeter will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Exeter won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 428:492 (average 21.4:24.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 290:213 (average 26.4:19.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter Chiefs won against Saracens?
Exeter Chiefs has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saracens won against Exeter Chiefs?
Saracens has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter Chiefs - Saracens were as follows:
06.10.2024
Saracens
-
Exeter Chiefs
29:14
27.01.2024
Saracens
-
Exeter Chiefs
40:22
14.10.2023
Exeter Chiefs
-
Saracens
65:10
31.12.2022
Saracens
-
Exeter Chiefs
35:3
22.10.2022
Exeter Chiefs
-
Saracens
20:22
Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
Latest results of Saracens
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Bath (1) | Bristol (4) | 34 : 20 |
| 2 | Leicester Tigers (2) | Sale Sharks (3) | 21 : 16 |
Final| 1 | Bath (1) | Leicester Tigers (2) | 23 : 21 |
