Birmingham City vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 27
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.00
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
110
Shots on Goal
30
Shots off Goal
20
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
70
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
2115
Offsides
10
Fouls
1521
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2624
Touches in the Opposition Box
170
Passes
81% (400/493)75% (266/354)
Passes in the final third
57% (75/131)53% (50/95)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (1/5)
Tackles
87% (20/23)81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
1946
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Woods R. 🟨,
  • 34', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 36', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Laird E. , May A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 61', Richards J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 61', McDonald K. , Colwill J. ,
  • 61', Stansfield J. , Yokoyama A. ,
  • 62', Wright S. , Dykes L. ,
  • 69', Harper V. 🟨,
  • 73', Mitchell D. , Jones P. ,
  • 74', Alli M. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 83', May A. , Bielik K. ,
  • 85', Harper V. , Niskanen I. ,
  • 90+14', 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
65.4%
Draw
21.3%
Exeter City
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 18.9% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73% 18.3% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Birmingham City - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.33)
    4.43
    (4.98)
    7.06
    (9.15)
    6.4%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
    • Birmingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Exeter have a series of home games.
    • In this match Birmingham is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Exeter City were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Exeter City - Birmingham City 1:2
    26.11.2024 Exeter City - Birmingham City 0:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Doncaster391481742:59-1750
    16Mansfield3712131247:41649
    17Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale377102029:50-2131

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two